So according to PPP Obama is ahead by 1 nationally and 8 in PA? One of these things is not like the others.
I find the idea of PA being several points more Dem than the nation as a whole to be well in line with what we've seen from PA the last few decades. +7 might be stretching it a bit, but saying that PA is 3 or 4 points more D than the nation as a whole seems pretty reasonable.
I agree. To change that, Mittens needs to get back a bunch of those moderate Pubs who have drifted away seemingly semi-permanently in Montco, Delaware and Chester Counties, and hold the big Toomey snap back in Lancaster County. I suspect the Pub percentages are rather maxed out elsewhere. It will be interesting to see how a class based campaign based on economics and redistributive economics, where most everything else is at the margins, will change the map structure that has held pretty well since 1992 really. In other words, where will the trends be, and will they break the post 1992 mold. You notice these days that Mittens does not want to talk about social issues - at all.