2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original (user search)
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  2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original  (Read 209409 times)
Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #25 on: February 20, 2018, 05:10:09 PM »
« edited: February 20, 2018, 05:18:45 PM by PittsburghSteel »
The Democrats are regaining steam. They are up to +8.5 over at 538 and +7.6 at RCP. I expect them to further expand in the coming weeks.

#ButHensterToldMeThatGunControlIsALosingIssue

Btw, the Q poll puts the Dems back to where they were BEFORE the tax bill was passed. Sorry, Limo.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #26 on: February 21, 2018, 03:17:40 PM »
Quote from: Devout Centrist on February 21, 2018, 03:13:05 PM
Quote from: LimoLiberal on February 21, 2018, 02:59:50 PM
That PPP polling suggests the Republicans have made significant gains since November. Patriot Majority had PPP poll some of the districts in November, and look at the changes.


Went from D+12 in CA-25 to D+2
Phillips led in MN-03 by 4 and now leads by 3
Generic D led Frelinghuysen in NJ-11 by 2, Sherill now is down by 2 to Generic R
Generic D led Faso by 6 in NY-19, and now is tied.

Massive R swings. No wonder some House Ds are in panic mode.

Will you delete your account if when the House flips?

FTFY
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #27 on: February 21, 2018, 03:44:02 PM »
NEW YouGov/Economist poll:

(2/18-2/20)

Democrats: 43% (+1)
GOP: 35% (-3)

Collapse
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #28 on: February 23, 2018, 10:07:45 AM »
Dem advantage in RCP average is now up to +8.6
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #29 on: February 24, 2018, 12:29:06 AM »
Go to bed, Andrew.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #30 on: February 26, 2018, 08:54:19 AM »
« Edited: February 26, 2018, 10:36:54 AM by PittsburghSteel »
R-internal has Dems up 5

American Action Network:

Democrats: 42.5%
GOP: 37.5%

Decimals making me cringe.

http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/375566-gop-outside-group-has-dems-up-by-5-points-on-generic
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #31 on: February 26, 2018, 12:15:14 PM »
*whistle*
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #32 on: February 26, 2018, 12:22:05 PM »
That is at least a D+45 outcome...

I'm growing more confident in Sinema, Rosen, and McCaskill winning.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #33 on: February 26, 2018, 12:26:39 PM »
I have a feeling Don Young could actually be vulnerable if that polling is accurate.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #34 on: February 26, 2018, 12:33:18 PM »
Democrats are going to be crawling over broken glass to get to the polls.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #35 on: February 26, 2018, 01:23:07 PM »
If only gerrymandering didn't exist... I would imagine a similar outcome for the Dems like Labour in 1997.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #36 on: February 28, 2018, 08:47:50 AM »
I didn't know Andrew was THAT separated from reality.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #37 on: March 01, 2018, 02:19:20 PM »
« Edited: March 01, 2018, 02:36:09 PM by PittsburghSteel »
D+50 seats. Take a picture if you can.

Btw, same poll shows 58% want a rep who OPPOSES Trump... wow.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #38 on: March 01, 2018, 03:00:52 PM »

You got me there (f*** you) but I can guarantee you it's probably bigger now.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #39 on: March 02, 2018, 10:22:50 PM »
« Edited: March 02, 2018, 10:48:39 PM by PittsburghSteel »
Don't tell Limo!

#SpeakerPelosi2019
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #40 on: March 06, 2018, 02:05:12 PM »
Quote from: Senator Pericles of Fremont on March 06, 2018, 02:02:38 PM
Sources have told me Dems have a 17 point lead in the Monomouth poll and Trump has a -32% approval rating.

I wish.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #41 on: March 07, 2018, 10:21:15 AM »
Limo is awfully quiet...
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #42 on: March 07, 2018, 02:47:37 PM »
« Edited: March 07, 2018, 02:52:40 PM by PittsburghSteel »
According to RealClearPolitics:

The Tax Bill is losing support.
The Direction of The Country is trending negative fast
Trump approval rating back under 40%
Democrat advantage at +9.1 in generic ballot

Poor Limo!

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #43 on: March 07, 2018, 06:32:22 PM »
Quote from: KingSweden on March 07, 2018, 05:18:57 PM
Trump’s approval went down 0.3% today on 538. Collapse, Blue Yellowstone Eruption narrative confirmed

It's called a trend, buddy.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #44 on: March 08, 2018, 01:40:37 PM »
« Edited: March 08, 2018, 01:44:48 PM by PittsburghSteel »
Jesus Christ, the Republicans are so hell-bent on trying to cut down the "Blue Wave" rhetoric that they are using primary numbers from a heavy Republican state to prove a point that isn't there? That is fuc**** pathetic. They are ignoring everything else: the fundraising numbers, the enthusiasm gap, the special elections, the generic ballot, candidate quality, etc. They are really setting themselves up for major disappointment in November, and that NYtimes article doesn't make any sense.

I'm tired of the media digging around and ovulating over every (very) small detail that goes against the likely blue wave.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #45 on: March 18, 2018, 09:41:21 AM »

No doubt the PA18 race has something to do with the collapse.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #46 on: March 18, 2018, 05:52:26 PM »

Well yeah, but I can’t help but think the GOP losing the seat has caused a few supporters to flee. It definitely has given momentum to the Democrats.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #47 on: March 21, 2018, 12:20:16 PM »
Quote from: Hindsight is 2020 on March 21, 2018, 12:00:14 PM
Quote from: LimoLiberal on March 21, 2018, 11:52:28 AM
Quinnipiac Generic Ballot
Democrats - 49
Republicans - 43

D+6. That's the best number for Republicans for a very very long time in Qpac.
An it's still awful

Here comes the "BLUE WAVE IS DEAD!" headlines.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #48 on: March 21, 2018, 01:32:58 PM »

Republicans are in for a whole lotta hurt.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #49 on: March 23, 2018, 12:55:35 PM »
The chart is scaring me...
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