Georgia's Very Own Megathread! (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 02, 2024, 05:28:29 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Georgia's Very Own Megathread! (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Georgia's Very Own Megathread!  (Read 320007 times)
South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,440


« on: July 23, 2018, 10:39:54 PM »

Lol are there videos to all this stuff in the links or do we have to wait until SBC makes another Borat-esque film and releases it?
https://youtu.be/4k4pMTsa1Kw

Sacha might have helped Abrams with this I think, Kemp's response is horrible.
I wish but this will forgotten tomorrow after the nominee is chosen. LOL. Spencer lost his primary so he's not even going to be in the Legislature in 2019. Abrams and co. will be blasting Kemp's voting suppression record for the next three months. That issue is a rallying call for African-American voters.

I'll also be glad Kemp is the nominee because he's on record outright refusing to expand Medicaid. Cagle was more ambiguous about it (I think he wants a work requirement).
Ah well, hopefully even if this is forgotten by voters the image of Kemp being scum sticks in their minds.  I imagine she'll do very well against Kemp, he's rather clearly the "Firebrand" candidate and if he's refusing to expand medicaid that'll probably hurt a bit in the suburbs.

I'll be "bold" and say Lean D for Abrams if Kemp is the R.

I'll go pure tossup.
Logged
South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,440


« Reply #1 on: July 23, 2018, 11:07:47 PM »

Lol are there videos to all this stuff in the links or do we have to wait until SBC makes another Borat-esque film and releases it?
https://youtu.be/4k4pMTsa1Kw

Sacha might have helped Abrams with this I think, Kemp's response is horrible.
I wish but this will forgotten tomorrow after the nominee is chosen. LOL. Spencer lost his primary so he's not even going to be in the Legislature in 2019. Abrams and co. will be blasting Kemp's voting suppression record for the next three months. That issue is a rallying call for African-American voters.

I'll also be glad Kemp is the nominee because he's on record outright refusing to expand Medicaid. Cagle was more ambiguous about it (I think he wants a work requirement).
Ah well, hopefully even if this is forgotten by voters the image of Kemp being scum sticks in their minds.  I imagine she'll do very well against Kemp, he's rather clearly the "Firebrand" candidate and if he's refusing to expand medicaid that'll probably hurt a bit in the suburbs.

I'll be "bold" and say Lean D for Abrams if Kemp is the R.

I'll go pure tossup.

I'll go Lean R.

That's fair.
Logged
South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,440


« Reply #2 on: July 24, 2018, 07:35:44 PM »

That margin is insane.
Logged
South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,440


« Reply #3 on: July 24, 2018, 07:40:11 PM »

This is one of the most embarrassing political flameouts in quite a while. Cagle amassed this giant operation and ran for governor for YEARS only to be exposed as a boneheaded political operator and corrupt RIGHT BEFORE THE ELECTION.

Trump's endorsement was just a sign of things coming - if Cagle looked like a sure thing Trump absolutely would've endorsed him.

Word.
Logged
South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,440


« Reply #4 on: July 24, 2018, 07:57:17 PM »

For most of the last two years Kemp was this close to being the political flame out - he was a very distant second or third in most of the primary polling before he did a horrifying caricature of the media's portrayal of southern people.

I knew Racist GA Hicks would love Kemp and those ads the second I saw them. The media (along with many liberals) was extremely out of touch by thinking they'd be "controversial" and hurt him, lol.

True that.
Logged
South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,440


« Reply #5 on: July 24, 2018, 07:58:41 PM »

Wow, Kemp has 69%.  I would imagine it would fall somewhat from that, maybe (but maybe not), but that's way more than predicted.
Logged
South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,440


« Reply #6 on: July 24, 2018, 08:03:08 PM »

At least Cagle won one county (Stephens).

3 counties on the map I'm looking at (NYT), although Monroe and Hall are both 51-49 and might not hold.
Logged
South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,440


« Reply #7 on: July 24, 2018, 08:03:57 PM »

I just got home (hate having party meetings on Tuesdays!).

Kemp's margin will fall as the metro core isn't really reporting even yet, but it'll definitely remain in the 60s. Wow - what an embarrassment (and how unfortunate for GA Dems)!

Also: the name "Brad Raffensperger". Learn it: he'll be on par with names like Kris Kobach, and will be the face of voter suppression in GA as it arises to swing state status if Barrow doesn't pull a Hail Mary (which he very well may!).

Also sad to see the 2 better Democratic candidates in GA-6 & GA-7 are losing their runoffs...

Yeah, true, I think Cagle would have been an easier GE opponent.
Logged
South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,440


« Reply #8 on: July 24, 2018, 08:07:53 PM »

At least Cagle won one county (Stephens).

3 counties on the map I'm looking at (NYT), although Monroe and Hall are both 51-49 and might not hold.

Monroe finished counting. Cagle won that too.

Ah, yes, you are correct, all 14 precincts are in.

Stephens County, where Cagle won 61-39, has only one precinct, that's kind of funny.
Logged
South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,440


« Reply #9 on: July 24, 2018, 08:08:50 PM »

I just got home (hate having party meetings on Tuesdays!).

Kemp's margin will fall as the metro core isn't really reporting even yet, but it'll definitely remain in the 60s. Wow - what an embarrassment (and how unfortunate for GA Dems)!

Also: the name "Brad Raffensperger". Learn it: he'll be on par with names like Kris Kobach, and will be the face of voter suppression in GA as it arises to swing state status if Barrow doesn't pull a Hail Mary (which he very well may!).

Also sad to see the 2 better Democratic candidates in GA-6 & GA-7 are losing their runoffs...

Yeah, true, I think Cagle would have been an easier GE opponent.

TBH, this is like comparing dog poop, to cat poop, there both equally bad. Both were C candidates, and they both still remain C candidates.

Cat poop that can probably do a better job of turning out the rural vote, though.
Logged
South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,440


« Reply #10 on: July 24, 2018, 10:26:26 PM »

Does it look like Abrams will invest in rural communities? With the cash she’s been getting, I think she should open field offices all over the state
If anyone can reach out to the rurals, it would be her. Still think Kemp has this, but Abrams will give it all she got. I see this more of a toss-up than the Ohio/Wisconsin races (which are clearly Likely R, if not Solid R, right now). Rooting big for Abrams to turn the tide and end the GOP hegemony here.

In what universe are Ohio and Wisconsin likely/solid R?  You just aren't speaking sense.
Logged
South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,440


« Reply #11 on: July 24, 2018, 10:30:21 PM »

If anyone can reach out to the rurals, it would be her. Still think Kemp has this, but Abrams will give it all she got. I see this more of a toss-up than the Ohio/Wisconsin races (which are clearly Likely R, if not Solid R, right now). Rooting big for Abrams to turn the tide and end the GOP hegemony here.

In what universe are Ohio and Wisconsin likely/solid R?  You just aren't speaking sense.

Keep in mind that this is coming from the guy who thought Trump would get a "cave bump" from the rescue of the students in Thailand.

Ah, I see, so he's either a troll, or has no earthly idea what he's talking about.
Logged
South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,440


« Reply #12 on: July 24, 2018, 10:31:26 PM »

It's important to remember that the primary turnout differential was way down for Republicans this year. In 2010 is was well over 200k, but this year it was 52k. That shows that there is an enthusiasm gap and that a lot of suburban voters who flipped in 2016 did not return to the GOP fold.

Cool beans.

EDIT:  Also, love your signature!
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.038 seconds with 8 queries.