The US Elections of 2044

[OBD]

Ironically, as soon as my other topic was moved to a different category, I was going to actually begin the 2044 elections. So here goes!

Senator Ossoff announces White House Bid
Popular senator Jon Ossoff of Georgia announced his bid today for the Presidency. He has served in the Senate since 2030, and before that the representative for Georgia's 6th congressional district since the 2020 Bullock Wave. Despite his state shifting to the right over the past decade, Ossoff has held on as he is more conservative than most Democrats. This, however, may hurt him on the national stage, due to America as a whole shifting left.

The original topic can be found at this link: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=275276.0

[OBD]

Ugh, I want to write an explanation but I keep accidentally reloading the page

Anyway, here is some POLLING.

GOP Primaries
Vice President Fredrick Khan (R-NY) 29%
Senator Tom Cotton (R-AR) 24%
Speaker Roger Mountebank (R-WA) 22%
Other 4%
Undecided 31%

Democratic Primaries
Majority Leader Brian Schatz (D-HI) 19%
Representative Rainier Decker (D-VT) 18%
Senator Jon Ossoff (D-GA) 18%
Governor Blake Sharper (D-CO) 15%
Other 2%
Undecided 28%

[OBD]

Familiar names enter the primary race
Today, two very familiar names jumped into the presidential race; Ivanka Trump and Malia Obama. Mrs. Trump currently runs the massive plethora of Trump companies, and has portrayed herself as a pro-business moderate. Like her father, she lacks political experience and is running for the Republican nomination. Malia Obama, daughter of the 44th President Barack Obama, is currently the Governor of Illinois, and before that a member of the Illinois state senate. She is running for the Democratic nomination.

Governor Kander to run
Well-known Governor Jason Kander of Missouri has decided to run for president, a spokesman reported. Kander has served as Governor for the past 8 years, and is term-limited. Before becoming Governor, he represented Missouri's 4th Congressional district. Kander is currently 62 years old.

Also, here is the explanation for the previous post.

It's now August 2043, and the primaries are starting to heat up. On the Democratic side, Senator Ossoff is joined by Brian Schatz, Senator from Hawaii, and Blake Sharper, Governor of Colorado. Additionally, progressive scion Representative Rainier Decker of Vermont has indicated interest in running. On the Republican side, Vice President Fredrick Khan, House Speaker Roger Mountebank of Washington, and Senator Tom Cotton of Arkansas have declared their candidacies.

In the Republican party, a civil war between the moderate and conservative wings is brewing. Thus far, Senator Cotton is the only conservative in the race. Speaker Mountebank is a well-known moderate, while VP Khan is in between. As popular president Ryan Baker retires, the Republican civil war has the potential to cripple the party.

The Democrats also lack a clear leader, but for a different reason. Their previous candidate, Brock Simmons of Wyoming, was forced to retire for personal reasons. While Democrats don't have a lot of radical ideological differences, the primaries may put some strain on the party.

[OBD]

SEPTEMBER 2043
New Polls Released

GOP Primaries: National
Fredrick Khan 23% (-6%)
Roger Mountebank 20% (-2%)
Tom Cotton 18% (-6%)
Ivanka Trump 6% (+6%)
Other 3% (-1%)
Undecided 30% (-1%)

Democratic Primaries: National
Jason Kander 17% (+17%)
Rainier Decker 15% (-3%)
Jon Ossoff 15% (-3%)
Brian Schatz 14% (-5%)
Blake Sharper 12% (-3%)
Other 2% (+0%)
Undecided 25% (-3%)

[OBD]

I'm gonna assume both you guys are Democrats. Please tell me if I'm wrong. Also thanks for participating!

[OBD]

Thanks guys! I'll put up an update soon.

[OBD]

SENATE RACES, 2044

Republicans 20 seats
Democrats 13 seats
Independent 1 seat

[OBD]

GUBERNATORIAL RACES, 2044

[OBD]

Senator Knowles announces White House bid
Celebrity-turned-senator Beyonce Knowles of Texas announced her White House bid today. Knowles, one of the more progressive members of the Democratic Party, has nationwide appeal from her celebrity days. Her critics believe she is too progressive to run, and lacks experience. But, according to some, she is now the front-runner for the Democratic nomination.

[OBD]

US SENATE RACE RATINGS

TOSSUPS
Oregon:
Texas:
Iowa:
Kansas:
New Jersey:
LEAN
North Carolina:
Arkansas:
Montana:
Virginia:
Idaho:
Alabama: As everyone expected, 90-year old Doug Jones is retiring, despite being in rude health. It's unclear who will take his place at the moment.
LIKELY
South Dakota:
SAFE
Everything else:

No race changes, so no explanations. Yet.

US GUBERNATORIAL RACE RATINGS

TOSSUP
North Carolina:
LEAN
North Dakota:
Missouri:
Indiana:
LIKELY
West Virginia
Montana:
New Hampshire:
SAFE
Everything else:

[OBD]

Can I also apply and be a senator from Florida? I don't really care what my first name is here, as long as my last name is Saint

Sure. I'll just make your first name Kyle. And I'm also going to assume you're a GOP senator.

[OBD]

LATE SEPTEMBER, 2043
Texas governor Payton Ennis enters Senate race
Republican governor Payton Ennis of Texas announced today that he was challenging incumbent senator John Smith, an Independent. Smith split from the GOP in 2042, and has been a prime GOP target for attack. However, it is still unclear if Smith will run for Senate, as he is mulling an independent Presidential run.

Senator Peebleton mulls Presidential run
Well-known Senator Emily Peebleton may run for President instead of re-election, one of her aides leaked. She has been encouraged to run by her political allies Sen. Kamala Sawant (D-SD) and Sen. Stephen Curry (D-CA). Should she enter, she will be the youngest candidate in the running for America's top office.

Representative Gallagher, Senator Sununu announce Presidential bids
Today, two more big names entered the GOP presidential race; Representative Mike Gallagher of Wisconsin, and Senator Chris Sununu of New Hampshire. Both have served in US government for over 20 years, and are respected senior members of the Republican party.

Niles Chan to contest Oregon senate seat
Niles Chan, the moderate Republican representing OR-1, decided to run for Jeff Merkley's Senate seat. His running positions the Republican party to retake the seat for the first time since 2008, as Chan is very well-known and respected in Oregon.

Senator Swalwell to run for President
Senior senator Eric Swalwell of California announced his run for President from his home in Dublin, California. He is relatively unknown nationally, and thus it is unlikely he will win.

[OBD]

How about David Rontley, 38 year old Democratic governor of Indiana (Formerly the mayor of South Bend). He is a slightly left-leaning and ambitious centrist who is nearing the end of his first term as governor. He is a bit more left-leaning on social issues than economic ones. He is running for re-election as Indiana governor.

GUBERNATORIAL RACES, 2044

Wait were you going to add mine?

Yeah, sorry. I forgot to put Indiana on.

[OBD]

OCTOBER 2043
New Polls Released

GOP Primaries: National
Fredrick Khan 26% (+3%)
Roger Mountebank 20% (+0%)
Tom Cotton 9% (-9%)
Chris Sununu 9% (+9%)
Ivanka Trump 7% (+1%)
Mike Gallagher 3% (+3%)
Other 3% (+0%)
Undecided 26% (-4%)

Democratic Primaries: National
Jason Kander 18%(+1%)
Beyoncé Knowles-Carter 16% (+16%)
Rainier Decker 11% (-4%)
Jon Ossoff 11% (-4%)
Brian Schatz 9% (-5%)
Blake Sharper 7% (-5%)
Eric Swalwell 4% (+4%)
Other 2% (+0%)
Undecided 22% (-3%)

[OBD]

As of October 14, 2043
US SENATE RACE RATINGS

TOSSUPS
Oregon:
Iowa:
Kansas:
New Jersey:
North Carolina: If Peebleton decides to stay in the Senate, this race is lean D. But, this race is a pure tossup should she run for President.
LEAN
Texas: Governor Ennis's entry into the race makes Smith's longshot re-election bid even more unlikely.
Arkansas:
Montana:
Virginia:
Idaho:
LIKELY
South Dakota:
SAFE
Everything else:

US GUBERNATORIAL RACE RATINGS

TOSSUP
North Carolina:
LEAN
North Dakota:
Missouri:
Indiana:
LIKELY
West Virginia
Montana:
New Hampshire:
SAFE
Everything else:

[OBD]

October 19, 2043
SCANDAL!!!
A major scandal has rocked the Baker administration and shook up the 2044 presidential race. Leaked by unidentified GOP malcontents, it was revealed that Vice President Khan, as well as multiple Cabinet members, had engaged in 'inappropriate' dealings with large corporations in New York and New Jersey. President Baker appeared to be uninformed of this, and appeared surprised when he supposedly 'found out'. However, the President then proceeded to fire Khan and demand the resignations of virtually all the government officials involved, possibly saving his credibility and his presidency. Conservative outlets have applauded Baker's quick action, while liberal outlets are unconvinced that Baker is completely innocent. Additionally, Khan has left the GOP primaries, making moderate Roger Mountebank of Washington the frontrunner.

[OBD]

October 21, 2043: Poll

Presidential Approval following 'Khangate'
Approve 52%
Disapprove 41%
Undecided/No Opinion 7%

Approval of Baker's handling of 'Khangate'
Approve 81%
Disapprove 8%
Undecided/No Opinion 11%

Baker's innocence
Baker is somewhat involved 41%
Baker is innocent 32%
Baker is completely involved 27%

Republican Party approval
Disapprove 58%
Approve 38%
Undecided/No Opinion 4%

Democratic Party approval
Approve 49%
Disapprove 43%
Undecided/No Opinion 8%

Generic 2044 Presidential ballot
Democrat 49%
Republican 39%
Other/Undecided 12%

2044 Texas Senate poll
John Smith (I) 42%
Payton Ennis (R) 35%
Generic Democrat 9%
Undecided 14%

2044 Oregon Senate poll
Rex Burger (D) 46%
Niles Chan (R) 46%
Undecided 8%

2044 New Jersey Senate poll
Generic Democrat 55%
Generic Republican 45%

[OBD]

How's NC-SEN going?

I'll add it soon.

[OBD]

2044 North Carolina Senate Polls
Emily Peebleton 51%
Generic Republican 42%
Undecided 7%

Generic Democrat, other than Peebleton 44%
Generic Republican 43%
Undecided 13%

[OBD]

NOVEMBER 2043
New Polls Released

GOP Primaries: National
Roger Mountebank 28% (+8%)
Tom Cotton 15% (+6%)
Chris Sununu 9% (+0%)
Ivanka Trump 8% (+1%)
Mike Gallagher 7% (+4%)
Other 3% (+0%)
Undecided 30% (+4%)

Democratic Primaries: National
Jason Kander 21% (+3%)
Beyoncé Knowles-Carter 20% (+4%)
Jon Ossoff 16% (+5%)
Rainier Decker 9% (-2%)
Brian Schatz 7% (-2%)
Blake Sharper 3% (-4%)
Eric Swalwell 3% (-1%)
Other 1% (-1%)
Undecided 20% (-2%)

[OBD]

An OOC note: In this TL, some states have pushed their primaries way back, to have more time for Presidential campaigning. Consequentially, there are some primaries in November.

[OBD]

UPCOMING PRIMARIES

ILLINOIS POLLING
Democratic Field
Jason Kander 29%
Beyoncé Knowles-Carter 24%
Jon Ossoff 23%
Rainier Decker 14%
Others 10%


Republican Field
Roger Mountebank 34%
Tom Cotton 28%
Ivanka Trump 21%
Chris Sununu 11%
Others 6%

INDIANA POLLING
Democratic Field
Jon Ossoff 31%
Jason Kander 29%
Beyoncé Knowles-Carter 19%
Rainier Decker 12%
Others 9%

Republican Field
Tom Cotton 38%
Roger Mountebank 33%
Ivanka Trump 15%
Chris Sununu 8%
Others 6%

[OBD]

Sharper withdraws from Presidential race, endorses Ossoff
Recognizing he has little chance of winning the Democratic primaries, and following a less-than-ideal performance in the first presidential debate, Governor Blake Sharper officially withdrew from the presidential race. He will return to being the governor of Colorado, and will serve out the remainder of his term. He has been mentioned as a possible 2048 candidate, assuming the Democrats lose in 2044.

[OBD]

PRIMARIES TONIGHTHello everyone, welcome to AAA news. Tonight, the primary season opens in Illinois and Indiana. Both states are rich in delegates, and both are key states that will decide the nomination. We start off with the Hoosier state tonight, as it's polls closed 25 minutes ago.

In the Democratic field, Jon Ossoff has a 3-point margin over Jason Kander. The Democratic base in Indiana is more conservative than average, and thus favors the Blue Dog candidate. Meanwhile, Knowles-Carter is currently running ahead of polling data and may get the upset, though Ossoff remains favored. It is still much too close to call, however.

Democratic Field 6% Reporting Too Close to Call
Jon Ossoff 29%
Jason Kander 26%
Beyoncé Knowles-Carter 24%
Rainier Decker 12%
Brian Schatz 5%
Eric Swallwell 2%
Others 2%

On the Republican side, Ivanka Trump is riding an unexpected surge, and is nearly tied with Senator Cotton for first. Speaker Mountebank, meanwhile, is trailing. Like the Democratic side, the GOP primary is too close to call.

Republican Field 6% reporting Too Close to Call
Tom Cotton 30%
Ivanka Trump 30%
Roger Mountebank 26%
Chris Sununu 10%
Mike Gallagher 2%
Others 2%

[OBD]

PRIMARIES TONIGHTHello everyone, welcome to AAA news. This is the last update before polls close in Illinois, so stay tuned.

In the Democratic field, Jon Ossoff has widened his margin over Kander to 4 points. Meanwhile, Knowles-Carter has exactly tied Kander, an interesting development.

Democratic Field 31% Reporting Too Close to Call
Jon Ossoff 29%
Jason Kander 25%
Beyoncé Knowles-Carter 25%
Rainier Decker 11%
Brian Schatz 6%
Eric Swallwell 2%
Others 2%

On the Republican side, Tom Cotton has eked out a narrow lead over Ivanka Trump. But, it's still anyone's game in the Hoosier state.

Republican Field 31% reporting Too Close to Call
Tom Cotton 31%
Ivanka Trump 29%
Roger Mountebank 27%
Chris Sununu 10%
Mike Gallagher 2%
Others 1%

In Illinois, we are getting some weird results for the Democratic race, as the polls have technically not closed. There are no results for the Republican primary at the moment, however. We will display the results we have for humor.

Democratic Field <1% Reporting Too Close to Call
Pepe the Frog (write-in) 55%
Jon Ossoff 20%
Emily Peebleton (write-in) 10%
Jason Kander 5%
Brian Schatz 5%
Stephen Colbert (write-in) 5%

(note: only 20 votes in)