2018 interactive senate map is up. Post your predictions.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Substantially more likely than a Democratic majority:

http://www.270towin.com/2018-senate-election/aQObB8

67-33; Veto-Proof Majority

MN would be tough to crack.

One overlooked state is MA. If widely popular Baker jumps in, then Warren could be in trouble.

Another blue state that could be in trouble is MD if Hogan jumps in, although I doubt he will.

I don't think AZ will be in play at all. NV is the only GOP state I think we could lose.

I think I'm getting hackishness poisoning. Somebody call an ambulance.

There are 11 states with R+ 2016 PVIs and Democratic incumbents in 2018.  The filibuster-proof majority is quite likely, and I will be disappointed if we don't get it.

Yep. Also this;


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2016/11/10/trumps_first_term_and_perhaps_a_second.html

WV - rural
ND - rural
MT - rural
MO - rural/rust belt
IN - rust belt
OH - rust belt
FL - diversified
PA - rust belt
WI - rust belt
MI - rust belt
MN - rust belt
ME - rural

Because ticket splitting doesn't exist, especially not with incumbents and a wavy midterm.

Sorry.  Democrats don't vote in midterms.  It won't be a good Democratic year, as much as you wish it would.  I even think the Republicans pick up seats in the House.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_elections,_2006

[Hindsight was 2020]

R pick ups;
IND: Todd Rokita over Joe Donnelly
MO: Ann Wagner over Claire McCaskill

D pick ups:
AZ: Mark Kelly over Kelli Ward
NV: Dina Titus over Dean Heller
TX: Joaquín Castro over Ted Cruz

D +1 while winning the house

[Hindsight was 2020]

I actually think people would be surprise at how many seats Dem would hold onto in 2018. We stayed competitive in MO and IN plus won states wide in WV and MT. So if Donald Trump is under 50 then Democrats should be able to hold on. And to the Republicans saying that this particular Democrat is going to loose because a state votes a certain way. Did you forget 2016?     

Been saying this forever the only effect the president race has on midterms is negative. The idea that someone like Brown who is really popular in Ohio will lose because Trump won the state is ridiculous

[Hindsight was 2020]

Also my gut feeling tells me that Nelson will win 54-44.

If that happens, hello Gov. Graham and a D state cabinet.

Gov. John Morgan you mean

[Hindsight was 2020]

Here's mine https://www.270towin.com/2018-senate-election/23kwy2