2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread

[Hindsight was 2020]

Anyone know if any Democrat has floated a potential run or an announced run against Carlos Curbelo in FL-26? I've been curious about that race.

He's one of my favorites in congress, hoping he wins big in 2018.

most of the Dem oxygen in the area has been sucked up by FL-27, which is both easier for a Dem to win and an open seat. haven't heard anything about Curbelo.

So I did some research and being a local could you tell me if Kionne McGhee or Robert Asencio would be good canidates

[Hindsight was 2020]

Brendan Kelly would be a good recruit

[Hindsight was 2020]

I do wonder will the dems recruiting of verterns help like it did in 2006?

[Hindsight was 2020]

#IL12: It's official: Brendan Kelly (D) will run against Mike Bost (R) in 2018.

Gregg Palermo at Fox2now:

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Yeah

[Hindsight was 2020]

TX-31: Dems have recruited decorated Air Force veteran MJ Hegar for this Safe R seat.

Very good choice. She seems like a very solid candidate, I think there is even a decent chance that she holds the R to single digits.

An honestly that is big like "iron mustache" running aganist Paul it's not about winning but having to sweat in seats like this forces to GOP to move resources from seats that need it more

[Hindsight was 2020]

Hey so funny story but I just found out that the finically director for Chrissy Houlahan who is running in PA-06 aganist Costello is somone I went to college with.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Also story missed from July 3rd Daylin Leach is in for PA-07 https://www.bizjournals.com/philadelphia/news/2017/07/06/daylin-leach-congressman-pat-meehan-election.html

[Hindsight was 2020]

Also story missed from July 3rd Daylin Leach is in for PA-07 https://www.bizjournals.com/philadelphia/news/2017/07/06/daylin-leach-congressman-pat-meehan-election.html

Woohoo! Totally endorsed! I rate this as lean R though, and I think Meehan will win about 55-45.

I disagree I think Meehan is in trouble Trump just looms large over the district and it's possible that his anti-AHCA vote ends up just pissing rep loyalists off over gaining crossover votes like 2010

[Hindsight was 2020]

State Sen. Lynwood Lewis (D) is reportedly eyeing a run in VA-02 versus Rep. Scott Taylor (R).  By 2016 presidential margin, this is the 30th-most D House seat held by an R.  Source: https://twitter.com/geoffreyvs/status/883353944696737792

Niceeeeeeee

[Hindsight was 2020]

Why hasn't any democrat announced a run in Texas 23rd yet? It's kind of ticking me off since it is literally the only district that will be relatively competitive in the state in 2018 should a dem run. The apathy of TexDems is pathetic.

From what I'm hearing a couple high profile Texas dems are waiting on the new court ordered redistricting maps before running

[Hindsight was 2020]

From what I'm hearing a couple high profile Texas dems are waiting on the new court ordered redistricting maps before running

The trial to see if the 2013 interim maps need to be redrawn is about to start on Monday (10th), and we should probably find out exactly what is going to happen sometime in the next couple months, or perhaps much sooner. Here is a pretty detailed Q/A about it (article is new):

https://www.brennancenter.org/blog/texas-redistricting-back-court

As I understand it, not only could we see a more Democratic-leaning 23rd district, but they might have to draw upwards of 2 - 3 more Hispanic minority opportunity districts, which could really help Democrats out in 2018.

And as a cherry on top, there is a chance Texas could find itself bailed back into requiring preclearance for district maps and changes to election laws, on account of all their racially discriminatory laws/maps passed over the past 7 years.

It's rumored one of the biggest losers is going to be Blake Farenthold as he has no money no money in his coffers and Soloman Ortiz jr (who is the son of the man who held this seat for like 30 years before Blake beat him) is likely to run

[Hindsight was 2020]

Also, Rudy Salas is apparently going to be announcing for CA-21 soon.

+1 dem

[Hindsight was 2020]

Any news on if Adam Gray is considering a run aganist Denham?

[Hindsight was 2020]

Via quinnipiac, Trump's approval in upstate NY has fallen to 38%. Could play a big role on if Michael Hein and/or Svante Myrick join races

[Hindsight was 2020]

EMILY's List might be recruiting outgoing State Rep. Alicia Reece to run against Steve Chabot in OH-01.

Portune who be the better recruit

[Hindsight was 2020]

I recall back in May that Michael Hein said he would announce by the end of July if he runs aganist Faso. Anyone got updates on that?

[Hindsight was 2020]

Michael Grimm is thinking about primarying Donovan http://www.ny1.com/nyc/all-boroughs/politics/2017/08/2/michael-grimm-eyeing-run-for-congress-sources-say-staten-island-dan-donovan.html

[Hindsight was 2020]

Grant Kier (D), the former director of a Missoula nonprofit, is running for MT-AL

Good recruit?

[Hindsight was 2020]

Both Alex Traintaphyllis and Lizzie Fletcher out raised Culberson last quarter https://mobile.twitter.com/PatrickSvitek/status/918952142114717696

[Hindsight was 2020]

Peter King (NY-02) has drawn a challenger which is well-funded. Businessman Tim Gomes has loaned his campaign 1 Million Dollar to become King's first credible challenger in ages. Might King retire instead?

Steve Bellone must be kicking himself

[Hindsight was 2020]

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https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-s-approval-rating-drops-lowest-level-yet-new-nbc-n815321

[Hindsight was 2020]

Don't know were to put this

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[Hindsight was 2020]

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https://twitter.com/AliLapp

[Hindsight was 2020]

Republicans surging after Tax Reform passage in Reuters/Ipsos Generic Ballot Tracking:

http://polling.reuters.com/#!poll/TM1212Y17/type/smallest/filters/PD1:1/dates/20170901-20171205/collapsed/true/spotlight/1

(You have to click on "Midterms: How will you vote?")

Down 7% is "surging"?

[Hindsight was 2020]

Bredesen is in https://mobile.twitter.com/carigervin/status/938523742799527936