2018 Congressional Generic Ballot/House Polls Megathread 2 - no debates please (user search)
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  2018 Congressional Generic Ballot/House Polls Megathread 2 - no debates please (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Generic Ballot/House Polls Megathread 2 - no debates please  (Read 144899 times)
Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« on: June 28, 2018, 10:01:06 AM »
Odds that hofiod is just a King Lear sock?
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #1 on: June 28, 2018, 10:11:25 AM »
It’s funny you call others “delusional” while everything you listed about why the midterms won’t be good is just your opinion of what will happen. Nothing so far suggests that Russiagate will go nowhere, that the public will forget about what Trump is doing to the kids, a story came out that NK is building up nukes again, and nothing so far suggests that this Kennedy replacement fight will kill dem momentum. It’s literally just your opinion so the idea that others are “delusional” for not sharing in your opinion of how the future will turn out is laughable
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #2 on: July 06, 2018, 09:27:54 AM »
So Washington Post did a poll and their CGB is D+10 47-37 https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/polling/washington-postschar-school-june-27july-2/2018/07/06/a6e8ed06-8111-11e8-a63f-7b5d2aba7ac5_page.html
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #3 on: July 10, 2018, 04:03:02 PM »
It’s weird. Time and time again I heard on the “abolish Ice” killed dem momentum but their lead keeps increasing
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #4 on: July 10, 2018, 05:16:34 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on July 10, 2018, 05:08:00 PM
NC-09 (Civitas): McCready +7


NUT
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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Posts: 13,646
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« Reply #5 on: July 10, 2018, 06:54:54 PM »
Gas can I get a link I can’t find any
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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Posts: 13,646
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« Reply #6 on: July 11, 2018, 06:26:05 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on July 11, 2018, 06:23:43 PM
Quote from: Ebsy on July 11, 2018, 05:59:48 PM


GOP holding their internals close to their chests. Wonder why?

I loved this comment:

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This sh*t is why Trump is our president
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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Posts: 13,646
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« Reply #7 on: July 17, 2018, 07:22:55 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on July 17, 2018, 07:05:52 AM
Rohrabacher is losing under all models:


Digging into the info it seems Rouda isn’t winning by more due to low name recognition. So good start for him
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #8 on: July 22, 2018, 05:13:35 PM »
Quote from: superbudgie1582 on July 22, 2018, 05:11:46 PM
The generic ballot aggregate will fluctuate. Try not to freak everybody.
BURN EVERYTHING DOWN
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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Posts: 13,646
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« Reply #9 on: July 22, 2018, 05:45:25 PM »
Quote from: Zaybay on July 22, 2018, 05:32:44 PM
Quote from: LimoLiberal on July 22, 2018, 04:27:05 PM
NBC/WSJ high quality live-caller poll taken partially after the Helsinki summit

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1021138283412287488

Last poll was in early June.

Democrats - 49 (-1)
Republicans - 43 (+3)


Actually, looking at some stats in the poll
Overall approval:45-52

Indie approval:36-58
Dem approval: 9-90
Rep approval: 89-9

GCB: 49/43 D+6

Indie GCB 48/26 D+20

There is something fishy with these totals. With the Dems and Reps cancelling each other out, the Indies should swing it more D, but it doesnt. It seems like Rs were oversampled.



Yeah how can Dems be winning indies this much but be up only 6?
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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Posts: 13,646
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« Reply #10 on: July 22, 2018, 07:12:16 PM »
Nate just announced on Twitter the poll got scrapped due to a method issue
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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Posts: 13,646
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« Reply #11 on: July 23, 2018, 09:59:04 PM »
Quote from: Holmes on July 23, 2018, 10:32:18 AM
Quote from: Gass3268 on July 23, 2018, 10:14:35 AM
It's on, like Donkey Kong:



I'll see if I can hit up my source for some sort of clue on what the numbers will be.
Any updates?
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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Posts: 13,646
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« Reply #12 on: July 25, 2018, 08:49:11 PM »
Quote from: Virginia on July 25, 2018, 08:43:13 PM
Two things to take away from Minnesota:

1. It's possible to get D+12 and not actually pick up MN-2 or MN-3. This was what happened in 2012, although Bachmann just barely scraped by, so I'd say it is likely that Democrats net up at least one seat with that margin.

2. Democrats could get a 7-1 delegation relatively easily as well, so long as their votes are more spread out. Given trends that accelerated in 2016, I'd like to their votes are more spread out this time, instead of running up the score in currently-held seats.
Well 2 shouldn’t be too hard seeing as Lewis is on a campaign of personal destruction and something must be going on in 3 because Erik’s first ad of the midterm is hiking attacking Trunp over his environmental policy. So Erik must of saw something in his polling to prompt that
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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Posts: 13,646
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« Reply #13 on: July 28, 2018, 10:34:01 PM »
« Edited: July 29, 2018, 05:19:47 AM by Hindsight is 2020 »
Apparently GOP insiders are seeing blue wave like numbers in their polling https://talkingpointsmemo.com/dc/100-days-from-the-elections-dems-hold-upper-hand-in-fight-for-house-control
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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Posts: 13,646
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« Reply #14 on: July 30, 2018, 08:19:04 AM »
CNN has moved VA02 and VA07 into tossup. Apparently Stewart is really having a down ballot drag
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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Posts: 13,646
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« Reply #15 on: August 02, 2018, 08:51:29 AM »
Quote from: Jeppe on August 02, 2018, 08:39:39 AM
Dana Balter leading 47-43 in NY-24 according to PPP. Looks like the Democratic lean of the district is eroding Katko’s personal appeal.
NUT!!!!
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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Posts: 13,646
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« Reply #16 on: August 09, 2018, 08:28:35 PM »
It’s an internal but if Kim has anything near that then OC could be a slaughter
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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Posts: 13,646
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« Reply #17 on: August 13, 2018, 09:51:23 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on August 13, 2018, 09:47:07 AM
NJ-03 poll coming tomorrow:


My body is ready
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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Posts: 13,646
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« Reply #18 on: August 14, 2018, 07:25:42 AM »
CA-22: Nunes: 48, Janz: 43 http://www.aroundthecapitol.com/docs/ca22-tulchin.pdf
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #19 on: August 15, 2018, 11:08:49 AM »
Quinnipiac has D+9 (51-42) and CNN has D+11 (52-41)
https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2562, https://mobile.twitter.com/jimsciutto/status/1029760323954397184
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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Posts: 13,646
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« Reply #20 on: August 17, 2018, 12:49:58 PM »
Not bad though I have some reservations about NY-19
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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Posts: 13,646
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« Reply #21 on: August 17, 2018, 06:54:41 PM »
Good chance hofoid and Limo are the same troll
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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Posts: 13,646
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« Reply #22 on: August 26, 2018, 10:27:52 AM »
NBC

D: 50(+2)
R: 42
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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*****
Posts: 13,646
United States


« Reply #23 on: August 29, 2018, 07:06:23 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on August 29, 2018, 07:03:57 PM
NY-22: Siena, Aug. 20-26, 499 likely voters

Anthony Brindisi (D): 46
Claudia Tenney (R, inc): 44

Not bad but closer than I expected
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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Posts: 13,646
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« Reply #24 on: August 30, 2018, 07:07:32 PM »
Before a certain someone named after my favorite breakfast freaks out I’d like to remind you all that Siena is infamously friendly to incumbents especially this far out
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