...president of the United States? Mike Pence (succeeded to the Presidency following the July 2019 resignation of Donald Trump; defeated the Democratic challenger, Ohio Senator Sherrod Brown, in the 2020 presidential election)
...chancellor of Germany? Angela Merkel (has already announced she wouldn't seek re-election to a 5th term)
...president of France? Emmanuel Macron (hovering around 40% approvals, & climbing; expected to run for re-election in 2022 (& defeat most candidates in 2nd-round hypotheticals))
...prime minister of the UK? Theresa May (not yet gone but behind Yvette Cooper's Labour in the polls prior to the expected May 2022 general election)
...prime minister of Canada? Justin Trudeau (headed for a third majority in 2023)
...prime minister of Australia? Bill Shorten (Labor's 2019 victory had mirrored the Coalition's 2016 narrow margin victory with 76 seats & the Liberal Party again switched leaders: back to Tony Abbott, who in 2021 is expected to (again) defeat Labor at the 2022 election)
Well, I don't see Merkel, Macron, or Trudeau being forced out-of-office sometime in the next 4 months, so 3 out of 6 ain't bad! (Not to mention, the specific predictions for both Merkel & Macron appear to have been spot-on!) Thank god my American prediction ended up being hilariously incorrect, but RIP the hopes for PM Shorten & an incoming PM Yvette Cooper
Here goes nothing for January 2, 2025:
...president of the United States?
Joe Biden (preparing for his imminent 2nd term)
...chancellor of Germany?
Markus Söder (Armin Laschet was elected CDU chair, but Söder was chosen to be the CDU/CSU Chancellor-candidate & went on to form the expected Black-Green coalition, though bumpier-than-expected coalition talks mean they're not able to take office 'til Jan. 2022, allowing Merkel to surpass Kohl & become the longest-serving post-war Chancellor in Dec. 2021.)
...president of France?
Emmanuel Macron...prime minister of the UK?
Keir Starmer (2024 sees the Tories & Labour end up neck-&-neck in terms of seats (~285 each), & Starmer forms a minority coalition government with the Lib Dems in exchange for electoral reform, supported by a confidence-&-supply deal with the SNP in exchange for IndyRef2.)
...prime minister of Canada?
Justin Trudeau (Liberals won a majority in the spring of 2022)
...prime minister of Australia?
Anthony Albanese (2022 sees Labor win 73 seats to the Coalition's 72, & Albanese forms a minority government with the support of the Greens MP & 2 crossbenchers.)
