DDHQ early forecast for 2018 House: D's gain 12 seats (user search)
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  DDHQ early forecast for 2018 House: D's gain 12 seats (search mode)
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Author Topic: DDHQ early forecast for 2018 House: D's gain 12 seats  (Read 7679 times)
UncleSam
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Posts: 2,523


« on: August 24, 2017, 04:20:12 PM »

The number of competitive seats is at an all-time low, and if you project a net 6% swing nationally to all races the Dems get only like +12 from where they are right now iirc

I really think some people are underestimating just how self-packed Democrats have become (and of course map imbalances that compound that factor / arise from that factor - chicken and egg etc.).

Still though I think Dems will do a better job of fighting for swing districts vs just relying on a universal swing, and should pick up 20 or so if these PV totals end up being close to right. It'll be a nail-biter imo, or at least it would be right now
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