CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA

[Kodak]

De Leon's lead over Bradley in LA County is almost canceled out by Bradley's lead over him in San Diego.

[Kodak]

Woah, Montana!

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1004213519036887040

Proof that this board is full on hack: looking at primary turnout (that they mocked trump for bragging about in past instances) as if it predicts jack....while ignoring outright data that shows republican incumbents are all over SOCAL improving on their 2016 margins.

Something has got to be done about the cheer-leading in primary results threads. We have idiots on here claiming montana and iowa are blue because of fricking primary turnout.

All but one of those SoCal districts has 2% or less reporting.

[Kodak]

De Leon is still in second after the OC dump.

[Kodak]

This is incredible, there were only 500K less votes cast in this primary than there was in the 2014 general election:

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1004908997718237185

Can't wait to see how Fox continues to try and spin this.

What is there to spin? Republicans didn't do that bad in these primaries, as they only lost 1 congressional district so far if you go by the combined D vs combined R vote. Of course, there's still late-mail ins waiting to be counted, and the general is more favorable to dems than the primary, but it's not like these primaries are a disaster for republicans. It's more neutral than anything.

Of course, getting shut out of the Senate race will probably still have bad effects downballot for the GOP. But considering how far they've fallen, at this point the expectations are pretty low for a neutral or good year.

[Kodak]

This, actually to me, is why this district isn't that big of a deal.  I'd be surprised (and disappointed) if Rohrabacher was reelected (I like to think there are a lot of Republicans who are at  least anti Putin)  and, while I appreciate that every seat counts, I think  it will be difficult for the Democrats to hold this seat in 2020, yet alone 2022.

In 2020 Trump will (probably?) be on the ballot again. In 2022 it won't be the same seat because of redistricting, but yes it will be harder to hold then if there is a D President.

Actually you give me a good reason to not support Rohrabacher.  He is too pro Putin.  

But then the main reason I support Trump is that in action he is the most anti Russian President since Reagan.  Obama in action was the most pro.  I do not care what they say.  I care how they act.  If Trump had carried on Obama’s actual Russian policies I would become anti Trump.

Trump refused to sign bipartisan Russian sanctions that got over 400 votes in Congress.

[Kodak]

Morelle leads in the first results from NY-25.

[Kodak]

On other related news, turnout in Oklahoma was insane for Democrats.

Tbf Oklahoma has plenty of zombie registered Democrats who are too lazy to switch their registration.

Can't it still be compared to previous primaries though?

There wasn't a competitive primary in 2014. In 2010 the Democrats outvoted the Republicans, then lost 60-40. So not really.