Cook Political: A Democratic wave is coming (user search)
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  Cook Political: A Democratic wave is coming (search mode)
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Author Topic: Cook Political: A Democratic wave is coming  (Read 3976 times)
Arkansas Yankee
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« on: November 17, 2017, 12:20:35 PM »

http://cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/house-overview/house-ratings-changes-seven-districts-gop-majority-peril

It's going to be the best year for Democrats since 2006 - this is what I wanted to happen if Hillary lost.  Her loss will the party's biggest gain in a decade.

And the party's biggest loss. Neil Gorsuch (and other court nominees) alone is so devastating to the party and the future of the left and liberalism that the 2018 election is small beans.

Hope so.  It was one of the major reasons I converted from Never Trump to Never Hillary.  Hope a Kennedy replacement will come also.
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Arkansas Yankee
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Posts: 1,175
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« Reply #1 on: November 17, 2017, 01:28:02 PM »

Before you all have orgasms, you might wait to see what happens in the coming Pennsylvanial special elections. Rural and most of Trumpian Virginia did not turn against the GOP.  Virginia has become a red (by Atlas' colors) northeastern state. Q

The GOP WON THE Supreme Court  and a Judge of the Commonwealth seats in state wide elections in PA. They did comparatively well in some counties and comparatively badly in some counties.  I do not see a wave building there yet.

I am not saying it will not build. 

I would suggest you be careful pushing Medicare for all.  Explaining how you will pay for it might be difficult.  It might boomerang on you.

I would also suggest you be careful driving white Catholics out of your party.
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Arkansas Yankee
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Posts: 1,175
United States
« Reply #2 on: November 17, 2017, 02:01:31 PM »

Before you all have orgasms, you might wait to see what happens in the coming Pennsylvanial special elections. Rural and most of Trumpian Virginia did not turn against the GOP.  Virginia has become a red (by Atlas' colors) northeastern state. Q

The GOP WON THE Supreme Court  and a Judge of the Commonwealth seats in state wide elections in PA. They did comparatively well in some counties and comparatively badly in some counties.  I do not see a wave building there yet.



Back it up. 1) the turnout in Pennsylvania was abysmal. There were almost as many votes counted in .  the NYC Mayoral election as there were in PA. 2) Democrats took 3/4 open state superior court seats. 3) There we two open Commonwealth seats. one winner was a Democrat and the one Republican that won (Fizzano-Cannon) barely took second place. 3) All liberal judges on the supreme court won the right to retain their seats by wide margins. 4) 5/7 supreme court seats are occupied by Democrats. The Republican that won was an incumbent and Pennsylvanians are generally favorable to incumbents.
But anyways, using the elections in Pennsylvania is a very poor defense.

Touchy, touchy.  I did not say a wave would not  happen.  I said to wait for the Pa specials. 

Another point in your favor is the GOP winner were women.  Women have unique assets in judicial races.

However, it seems the GOP won of the Superior Court positions.

The fact that judges are retained in a retention election is irrelevant.  Ii is extremely difficult for a judge to lose a retention election 

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Arkansas Yankee
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Posts: 1,175
United States
« Reply #3 on: November 18, 2017, 06:38:39 PM »

A good economy may reduce the size of the wave.

Goldman Sachs predicts a great 2018:

https://www.cnbc.com/2017/11/17/goldman-sachs-says-2017-was-surprisingly-good.html
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