CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA

[Dr. MB]

Heenan's losing by literally a point. It'll be close, but I'm confident he'll prevail in the end.

[Dr. MB]

It seems like there are 3 main factions in Democratic congressional primaries this year.

Establishment (think John Heehan, Jeff Van Drew, and Mikie Sherrill)
Women (think Cindy Axne, Lucy McBath, and Kathleen Williams)
Progressive (think Pete D'Alessandro, Kara Eastman, and Grant Kier)

Sometimes there are overlap between the 3 factions, like Mikie Sherrill being propped up by both establishment Democrats and women's groups. Sometimes a woman won't even be considered to be a part of the "women's faction", like Kara Eastman, who received no support from typical feminist organizations like Emily's List, NARAL, or Planned Parenthood but did receive support from progressive organizations like the Justice Democrats. But this 3-way dynamic seems to be playing out in many Democratic primaries this year.

The perfect microcosm for this seems to be in the MT-AL Democratic primary, where 3 Democrats are contesting the seat right now. John Heehan (establishment), Kathleen Williams (women), and Grant Kier (progressive).

You'd be hard-pressed to find anyone who considers Heenan establishment.

All three are running under some variation of the "progressive" label.

[Dr. MB]

Apparently Stacey Dash is still on the ballot in 44?

She must have withdrawn too late.

[Dr. MB]

I'd say the best primary night so far. Mainly because Jared Polis is the nominee.