Sabato moved ND from Lean D to Tossup because of this, lol.
Not unreasonable given that he's a congressman and we need to see a poll on this even if he's a flawed candidate.
My thoughts pretty much. He got more votes than Heitkamp did in 2012, after all.
12,000 more votes, what a monster. The Cramer vs Heitkamp 2012 comparisons hold no water anyway because those were such different elections with completely different circumstances.
And Heitkamp only won by 4000 against an absurdly damaged opponent in a year with Barack Obama on the ballot and is now running in a state that is directly feeling the benefits of a bill that Heitkamp voted against.
I don't think Obama being on the ballot helped Heitkamp whatsoever. In fact it probably made her election even more close than it should've been.