Austrian Election Prediction Contest 2017 (user search)
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Author Topic: Austrian Election Prediction Contest 2017  (Read 3671 times)
Former President tack50
tack50
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« on: September 10, 2017, 12:38:00 PM »

1.) Predict the percentages of all parties, rounded to one decimal point.

ÖVP: 33.0%
SPÖ: 24.0%
FPÖ: 23.0%
Greens: 5.5%
NEOS: 5.5%
Pilz: 5.5%

2.) Guess the name of the 7th-biggest party and its percentage.

KPÖ: 1.5%

3.) Predict voter turnout, rounded to one decimal point.

72.1%

4.) Name the leading party in each state.

SPÖ: Vienna, Carinthia
ÖVP: Everything else

5.) Name the best and worst state for each of the six big parties.

ÖVP: Tyrol-Carinthia
SPÖ: Burgenland-Voralberg
FPÖ: Styria-Burgenland
Greens: Vienna-Lower Austria
Pilz: Vienna-Burgenland
NEOS: Voralberg-Burgenland

6.) Will the Greens drop below the 4% threshold ?

No

7.) Will the FPÖ drop below 20% ?

No

8.) Will PILZ make it into parliament ?

Yes

9.) Predict the next coalition.

ÖVP+FPÖ

10.) Predict what Kern/Kurz/Strache will do after the election.

Kern resigns as party leader, the other 2 become PM and a cabinet minister (and deputy PM) respectively
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