Texas 2020 House Apportioment (user search)
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Former President tack50
tack50
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« on: July 29, 2020, 01:23:12 PM »

I tried to minimise the fajita strips, but unfortunately Hispanic turnout in the Rio Grande outside Hidalgo County is just so low that I needed to divide Hidalgo County three ways. If there's a way to get 3 performing Hispanic districts out of the RGV which only needs two strips, I'd love to see it.

It is extremely easy to do no fajitas (or just one of them) in the RGV. Here are for example 6 hispanic districts (including 2 in San Antonio and 1 in El Paso); including 3 districts with no fajitas (in fact, Hidalgo County is kept whole!)



The population percentages here refer to CVAP by the way, not to raw population

TX-01: 70% Hispanic, Clinton+11, D+4
TX-02: 88% Hispanic, Clinton+41, D+20
TX-03: 74% Hispanic, Clinton+15, D+7
TX-04: 76% Hispanic, Clinton+38, D+16
TX-05: 49% Hispanic, Clinton+11, D+2
TX-06: 57% Hispanic, Clinton+11, D+2

Though I am not sure if the San Antonio ones would truly be VRA compliant, but you can easily make at least one that is, I was really trying to maximize the Hispanic districts. The 3rd is also not that great either for a similar reason, you can easily clean it up if you go for just 1 Hispanic district in San Antonio

Also given the low PVIs, it is possible that these were not compliant in 2020, but they should be now, at least as long as Biden does not go down in the RGV compared to Clinton.
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Former President tack50
tack50
Atlas Politician
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Posts: 11,882
Spain


« Reply #1 on: July 29, 2020, 02:44:07 PM »

How would being well over 55% Hispanic CVAP be too low?

My worry was with the 5th district, which is only 49% Hispanic though I recognize that is not in the RGV
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