Wisconsin Megathread v3: GOP in MASSIVE DISARRAY (user search)
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  Wisconsin Megathread v3: GOP in MASSIVE DISARRAY (search mode)
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Author Topic: Wisconsin Megathread v3: GOP in MASSIVE DISARRAY  (Read 172228 times)
At-Large Senator LouisvilleThunder
LouisvilleThunder
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,924
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.55, S: 1.74

P P P
« on: April 02, 2019, 11:06:32 PM »

Imagine wanting to leave a state over the result of a state Supreme Court election.
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At-Large Senator LouisvilleThunder
LouisvilleThunder
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,924
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.55, S: 1.74

P P P
« Reply #1 on: April 02, 2019, 11:35:42 PM »

So how is this going to affect Solid's ratings now? Tongue
Did he learn from 2018?

Why did hell did we do so bad in WOW with a bigot GOP candidate given how anti-Trump they are? Is the ancestral GOP strength having an affect in downballot races much like what we saw in Florida?
They're rich social conservatives.
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At-Large Senator LouisvilleThunder
LouisvilleThunder
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,924
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.55, S: 1.74

P P P
« Reply #2 on: April 03, 2019, 10:43:19 AM »

One thing that I will note is that if the Dems can not completely screw up in Milwaukee while holding these results elsewhere, it becomes a rather easy win. The state most certainly isn’t gone, in fact, we can now say there’s a clear path for th Dems. The problem is that it still requires several things to happen at the same time.
The thing is that while the GOP did have strong turnout in WOW and in Racine and Kenosha, it was lower among the driftless area farmers who were key to Trump's victory. This is normal considering how wealthier woke Madison commuters are more likely to vote in these judge elections in the spring while Milwaukee doesn't turn out unless they have a real reason to do so.
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At-Large Senator LouisvilleThunder
LouisvilleThunder
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,924
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.55, S: 1.74

P P P
« Reply #3 on: April 03, 2019, 11:59:42 AM »

People extrapolating these results to 2020: Why did Democrats win GA-06 while losing SC-05 so badly in 2018? Huh The special election results of 2017 told me that SC-05 is more Democratic than GA-06.

People are completely ignoring the fact that there is literally zero party or ideological label on the ballot too. Yes, most people who went and voted probably knew where each candidate leaned, but there probably has a decent minority of voters who had no idea who either were or where they stood. That might not matter in a blowout like we had last year, but you can't tell me that doesn't have an effect in a races with about a 5,900 vote margin. Also I'm pretty sure Hagedorn's name came first on the ballot.
The counter to that is women have tended to win judicial elections recently from either side.
There is also the fact that Neubauer massively outspent Hagedorn as business organizations pretty much triaged him as they thought his controversial social conservatism made him DOA considering the election results in last year's justice election.
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At-Large Senator LouisvilleThunder
LouisvilleThunder
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,924
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.55, S: 1.74

P P P
« Reply #4 on: November 28, 2022, 04:34:54 PM »

She seems like the strongest conservative option.
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At-Large Senator LouisvilleThunder
LouisvilleThunder
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,924
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.55, S: 1.74

P P P
« Reply #5 on: November 28, 2022, 07:50:38 PM »

Do you think the judge who presided over the Kyle Rittenhouse trial qualifies as liberal?
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