Argentina general elections, 27 October 2019. Open Primaries 11 August

[Bidenworth2020]

Could Fernandez win over 60? He won 47 in the primary, so he will almost certainly win in the first round. How will that remaining 21% break?

[Bidenworth2020]

Could Fernandez win over 60? He won 47 in the primary, so he will almost certainly win in the first round. How will that remaining 21% break?

It doesn't work that way. It's not a top-2 second round, it's "eliminate candidates who did under 1.5%" before the real election. So, only 1.22% is up for grabs.

Yes, but we may eventually get the actual second round in november

There's a lot more than 1.22% of the votes up for grabs in the first round, as a lot of Centurión and Espert voters will change to Macri for the first round and quite a few of Lavagna (and Lavagna may win some votes from other parties as well) and FIT voters would also change their vote

A majority of Lavagna voters would likely vote for Macri in a second round and most Centurión and Espert voters will definitely vote for Macri in this hypothetical (and frankly unlikely) second round

A good chunk of Frente de Izquierda and MAS voters will abstain and the remaining minority would vote for Fernandez. The Fernandez are already quite close to their electoral "roof", unless the economy gets significantly worse in the next couple of months (which is always a serious possibility here)

Does Fernandez win a majority in the second round? And also, who are you backing?

[Bidenworth2020]

Any idea where I can get detailed results? If I had to guess, Macri did better tha expected in rural areas due to his pro life stance, as well doing very well in Buenos Aires

[Bidenworth2020]

Any idea where I can get detailed results? If I had to guess, Macri did better tha expected in rural areas due to his pro life stance, as well doing very well in Buenos Aires

I can't post links, but La Nación or any major newspaper has good maps!

Got you covered: here's a link to the official results.

Thanks dude!