2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - Part 3

[Bidenworth2020]

OK, yeah, a few more of these polls and I'll start to get nervous.

I wouldn't worry too much. It will stop once kav is confirmed (ugh).

[Bidenworth2020]

After a series of bad polls and shocking news from the Senate, the House, the President, and from some other places, things aren't looking good for Democrats. At this time, everything is going downhill...all at once. We all know Democrats are doomed in a month, but there are still a few of you who don't understand this. The numbers are grim, they look worse every day. We just got a poll from the well respected polling firm that polls places and they gave Democrats bad numbers. This is awful, and I don't think it will ever, ever get better.

Meanwhile, news on the ground from some areas is bad. The men are voting for Trump. Women are trending Republican now according to one poll from somewhere. The whole court charade has costed Democrats millions of votes. Wow. Not good.

Elsewhere, some man is tweeting things and they say it's bad news for Democrats. And they called Wisconsin right in 2016. Uh-oh. They were right once, they will probably be right again. In other words, they know our future and it would be bad to ignore them.

The poors have broken for Trump and the Republicans. It just won't work. The middle class in the Midwest is coming home for the Republicans. The numbers are stacked against us everywhere. In Ohio, in Texas, in Michigan, in Missouri. Awful.

So is the blue wave dead? Yes, it's all over. Give up. We're doomed.

send this to every republican you know, pls

[Bidenworth2020]

It is very possible that the Democrats could wind the House vote by a large number but not win the House. If they get very high number in safe/likely seat they hold while gaining in some of the safe/likely seat that they Republicans have. But in the toss-up ones they don't get the support to win. (Not saying this is what will happen)

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Someones been on twitter.

Nate Cohn laying out his doomsday scenario lol.

Anyway, he raises a good point. However, I think he is underselling the fact that the party out of power tends to over perform the district only polls.

Yeah, but Kavanaugh changed the game for the GOP like I said it would. What happened to all my naysayers saying that nobody pays attention to the Supreme Court?

He didn't really change the game looking at the senate polls. But I don't have time for your concern trolling.

Is it trolling to say that Cruz, Blackburn, Cramer, and Hawley are pulling away?

I guess it is not trolling, but highly misleading.

[Bidenworth2020]

Throw it in the average. There are always going to be polls at the lower bounds.

Why would there by a WAVE Election IF

# 1 We've the lowest UE Rate in 50 Years!
# 2 The GDP is rising
etc...

You & many others absolutely ignoring the Economy like it's unimportant. It isn't.

no one cares about the economy...thats right, trump made no one care about the economy... lmao

[Bidenworth2020]

MI-06 is moving onto the board in a bigger way now. DCCC added it to red-to-blue and DCCC is starting to run TV ads there now, and they have released an internal with the Dem (Longjohn) only down by 3, with name ID being the main apparent issue there.

Although Trump did win here 51-43, Romney only won 50-49 in 2012 and Obama won it 53-45 in 2008. It is only an R+4 district.

This is a race that I think should have been getting more attention previously, but didn't previously only because Upton was considered too much of a "strong incumbent." But Whitmer and Stabenow should both win this district handily in MI-GOV and MI-SEN, and I think that will have some coattails here. The importance of Upton's "candidate quality" is being exaggerated, I think.

I think this is one of those late breaking races that people aren't expecting, and in the end it will be one of those upsets that goes Dem and surprises some people.

This year is so odd. I see dems barely winning in competitive seats, and barely behind in very conservative seats

[Bidenworth2020]

I don't think people are really getting the whole gravity of what's going on around us right now. We are under two weeks away from the election, and we are seeing major stock market downturns (even if they are sporadic day to day and just temporary), and this whole package bomb thing against media and democrats (regardless of who did it), not exactly the strongest way for the GOP to close out in the final days, even if it is not their fault, bad luck happens.

and republicans are the ones who talk about the mob