US Senate elections, 2024

[Bidenworth2020]

JD Ford might be a sleeper contender against Braun in 2024, especially as Hamilton County trends further left.  I also see him being able to turn out the base in Gary, Indy, and Bloomington.  He won't have Donnelly's problem of not having any appeal to the base. 

don't forget donnelly still overperformed you average dem in rurals. You need the crazy turnout and those numbers in rurals.

[Bidenworth2020]

Think it's a reasonably close presidential year, maybe Democrat wins by Obama 2012 like margins or slightly less. It's a gain of 3 or 4 seats for the Republicans(depending on the outcome in Florida). King retires in Maine, perhaps there is a good GOP candidate or perhaps Maine has substantially shifted to the right since 2018.

No

Im sure a 95% white state that is 60% rural that has a large conservative base is gonna keep electing democrats.

Vermont Safe R guyz

Large conservative base is key word
They had a large enough base to elect Lepage.
And Maine is no vermont . It voted for Hillary by 3.

No Republican has won a majority of the popular vote for Governor in Maine since 1962.

But I wouldn't expect someone who's never been here to know anything about Maine.

That seems a bit unfair. I wouldn't say the same about someone commenting on Maryland politics. Is Maine just different?