MA and VT at Likely R
MD and NH at Lean R
NV and ME at Tossup
NM at Lean D
NJ at Likely D
IL depends on the Dem nominee
Any other Dem besides Kennedy and Pritzker makes it Tilt/Lean D
Kennedy makes it Tossup
Pritzker makes it an incredibly narrow Tilt R
This is just me, I'm sure others here have a different view on him, but just because he's got money doesn't mean he's a good candidate, got three strikes on him at this point.
1: Running as a "Progressive" in a machine state, won't get Suburbanites or Progressives with that.
2: Picked without being Picked by Madigan in the primary, another hit.
3: The Blago Wiretaps. Blago offered him Obama's senate seat, but he asked for State Treasurer instead.
So he's a fake progressive, Madigan's Hand Picked candidate, and is tied to Blago, I highly doubt he's favored at all. (This is before what I expect will happen next, Quinn not running and endorsing Pritzker instead, another hit.)
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