VA-Quinnipiac: Northam +17 (user search)
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  VA-Quinnipiac: Northam +17 (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA-Quinnipiac: Northam +17  (Read 5819 times)
Cactus Jack
azcactus
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« on: October 30, 2017, 01:30:38 PM »
« edited: October 30, 2017, 04:39:33 PM by Representative Cactus »

It probably won't be this lopsided, but with the breaking news on the investigation this morning, I think my prediction of Northam+9 might not be so unreasonable any more.
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Cactus Jack
azcactus
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« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2017, 01:53:29 PM »

I'm not even going to dignify this incredible outlier of a poll with a serious reaction. But what'd be the reaction on Atlas if Gillespie somehow eeked out a win?

I would probably cope with the madness by laughing my head off. Gillespie is exactly the candidate who could pull it off, considering how close he came to taking Warner's head.
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Cactus Jack
azcactus
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Posts: 1,956
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« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2017, 02:57:43 PM »

Well, so much for Ds outperforming their polling average here, lol. Anyway, this poll is almost certainly garbage from an absolutely terrible pollster, but it's really looking as if Gillespie is doomed (and probably never had a chance to begin with, even if Clinton had won).

If some of these polls are accurate, Doug Jones in AL definitely has a better chance of winning his race than Ed Gillespie. Republicans should stop contesting any statewide or federal race here if Gillespie loses by more than 3. If it's closer than that, you can at least blame it on the fact that it's an off-year election and the D base is energized, but if not it's probably the best to triage this state and focus on keeping NC, FL and TX competitive. GA and AZ are probably doomed for the GOP in the long term and VA is headed the way of MD.

If it's just the gubernatorial race that swings hard to the Democrats, that'd be one thing. But if the VAGOP loses the House of Delegates, the ballgame is done for them.
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