Current election predictions (user search)
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Author Topic: Current election predictions  (Read 2155 times)
Burke Bro
omelott
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,114
Israel



« on: August 13, 2017, 08:01:07 PM »
« edited: August 13, 2017, 08:09:02 PM by omelott »

Here are 3 scenarios I've come up with.

Trump's approval rating remains settled in the high 30s (36-41%), perhaps increasing a bit come 2020.

Democrat: 350
Trump: 188
 



Trump's approval rating continues to plummet and settles in the low 30s (29-34%).

Democrat: 424
Trump: 114



Trump resigns/is removed from office and Pence retains a steady approval rating in the high 40s (35-40%), which slightly increases come 2020, similar to Obama during 2012.

Pence: 320
Democrat: 218




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Burke Bro
omelott
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,114
Israel



« Reply #1 on: August 13, 2017, 08:20:49 PM »

Why in the world do people think Pence would win NH?

New Hampshire was the closest contest in 2016 after Michigan. If Pence was to improve upon Trump's margins, he'd almost certainly carry the state.
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