Why do people think WA/OR will trend Republican? (user search)
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  Why do people think WA/OR will trend Republican? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why do people think WA/OR will trend Republican?  (Read 5132 times)
Keep cool-idge
Benjamin Harrison he is w
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« on: July 29, 2017, 02:20:54 PM »

Okay I live in Vancouver Washington and Portland is 10 miles from me
There is no way Washington or Oregon go republican anytime soon
Portland is gaining 100 people a week and the past 2 years I have started seeing tons of out of state cars
Most common being California,Massachusetts,Colorado,Texas,Minnesota
Even so Portland is mostly white newbies there from the states I listed
Now if Portland were gone Then Oregon would have voted trump by 5,000 votes
While Washington would vote Hillary by 22,000
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Benjamin Harrison he is w
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« Reply #1 on: July 29, 2017, 03:27:10 PM »

I agree, Trump started the midwestern strategy, which will bring midwestern whites to vote for the GOP by the same margins southern whites do, not the western strategy.

In Washington/Oregon, this will happen only after liberal overreach turns the PNW into another rust belt and they see the socialist "paradises" of Seattle and Portland morphing into new versions of Crimecago, Deathtroit and Theiveland.

California will be free from it because that will basically become Northern Mexico in a decade.
The PNW also happens to be very white and Asian.  Maybe if the GOP can figure out how to moderate, and win back the Western vote and Asian vote, it can win WA and OR.

Portland is one of the biggest and liberal city's in America it will take a lot to flip oregon the GOP has milked southern Oregon as much as possible eastern Oregon same the only place the GOP can improve is the north west coast had a Yuge swing to trump.
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Benjamin Harrison he is w
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« Reply #2 on: July 29, 2017, 04:10:30 PM »

Easy when the GOP switches to a Suburban strategy they will be competitive in the PNW . Winning Beaverton,Hillsboro is much more important to winning the state then Portland
The only way the republicans win Oregon is to increase numbers in Salem and bend and flip Clackamas county, republicans are not going to flip Washington county it's gone the way of fair fax county or Dallas county or Delaware county Pennsylvania.
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Benjamin Harrison he is w
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« Reply #3 on: July 29, 2017, 11:10:19 PM »

Why would white Christians go democrat if roe v wade is overturned and the ne got republican?
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Benjamin Harrison he is w
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« Reply #4 on: July 30, 2017, 01:48:52 AM »

Easy when the GOP switches to a Suburban strategy they will be competitive in the PNW . Winning Beaverton,Hillsboro is much more important to winning the state then Portland
The only way the republicans win Oregon is to increase numbers in Salem and bend and flip Clackamas county, republicans are not going to flip Washington county it's gone the way of fair fax county or Dallas county or Delaware county Pennsylvania.

There's another way to win Oregon ,win nationally by 9-11 points .
Well in that case they also win all the states decided by 10% or less plus CT DE NJ ME1 and maybe WA and IL
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Benjamin Harrison he is w
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« Reply #5 on: July 31, 2017, 01:10:54 PM »
« Edited: July 31, 2017, 01:19:15 PM by Keep cool-idge »

That's a good question. Both states trended to Hillary and Washington actually swung to Hillary. To be honest, I didn't study this topic too closely, but I do have some questions.

I'm not surprised that Hillary swung King County her way (basically, one-third of the state voted for Obama by about 40 points in 2012 and Hillary pushed that margin to nearly 50 points in 2016), but the Tri-Cities in Eastern Washington was quite surprising. For those from Washington, is that a result of the relatively high Latino population? For a Democrat that got crushed in rural America, Hillary seemed to do pretty well in Eastern Washington overall. In the Pacific NW, it was SW Washington and NW Oregon that swung hard to Trump.
Yes there are tons of Mexicans in eastern Washington and if turnout is high among Mexicans then eastern Washington will go democrat eventually
As for southwest Washington the key to the yuge swing was cowlitz county plus grays harbor and pacific counties which voted republican for the first time since 1928 and 1952
But the reason those places voted republican was union blue collar works

Update
So doing more research on these areas I mentioned from 1892-1928 it seems that grays harbor was dark red or blue on this site
Then the from 1932-1948 solidly democrat but from 1952-1960 it was a swing county then from 1964-2012 it was solidly democrat not even voting for Nixon or Reagan
But then trump came and just like the rust belt in the Great Lakes area these county's i listed are the rest belt of the west coast.
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Benjamin Harrison he is w
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« Reply #6 on: August 03, 2017, 02:27:00 AM »

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