End of 2017: Is Trump favored to be re-elected?

[Keep cool-idge]

Yes trump will probably win re-election barring muller comfiring that trump and Russians were colluding. Or a economic disaster like 2008 or the Great Depression.

[Keep cool-idge]

Trump will lose re-election if…

- His approval rating stays below 40%.

- The democrats can actually win in a massive landslide during the 2018 mid-term elections. I’m talking winning both houses of congress. I’m not convinced the dems will win either house but we will see what happens.

- The economy looks shaky by summer 2020.

- The democrats nominate a great presidential candidate and vice-presidential candidate for 2020. As much as I like Joe Biden, I think his time for the top job has passed. Same for Bernie Sanders. I hope someone with a fantastic message and platform and who is much younger than Trump is nominated. Also, a woman on the ticket (either president or vice president) is critical.

- The most important key to Trump losing re-election is if he gets a strong GOP candidate to go up against him in 2020. If that happens, the 2020 election may start to look like a repeat of 1980 when Jimmy Carter had to fight for the democrat nomination or a repeat of 1992 with George H.W. Bush who had to fight for the GOP nomination.

If all that happens, then I have no doubt Trump will become a one-term president and the dems will take back the white house in a landslide as big as Barack Obama’s win in 2008. However, as of right now, I think Trump has a 51% of winning in 2020.

I agree with all of it but the approval rating part because trump won with 38-40% approval rating already.

[Keep cool-idge]

Trump will lose re-election if…

- His approval rating stays below 40%.

- The democrats can actually win in a massive landslide during the 2018 mid-term elections. I’m talking winning both houses of congress. I’m not convinced the dems will win either house but we will see what happens.

- The economy looks shaky by summer 2020.

- The democrats nominate a great presidential candidate and vice-presidential candidate for 2020. As much as I like Joe Biden, I think his time for the top job has passed. Same for Bernie Sanders. I hope someone with a fantastic message and platform and who is much younger than Trump is nominated. Also, a woman on the ticket (either president or vice president) is critical.

- The most important key to Trump losing re-election is if he gets a strong GOP candidate to go up against him in 2020. If that happens, the 2020 election may start to look like a repeat of 1980 when Jimmy Carter had to fight for the democrat nomination or a repeat of 1992 with George H.W. Bush who had to fight for the GOP nomination.

If all that happens, then I have no doubt Trump will become a one-term president and the dems will take back the white house in a landslide as big as Barack Obama’s win in 2008. However, as of right now, I think Trump has a 51% of winning in 2020.

I agree with all of it but the approval rating part because trump won with 38-40% approval rating already.

Yes but if the democrat candidate is more popular (I'm taking 45% or higher approval rating), Trump being below 40% is bad news for him. 

True see I also think that Biden is strongest most likely candidate to beat trump. He can easily win back back the rust belt that will give him the presidency it’s that simple.