2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original

[kph14]

Republicans are nearing extinction as a party as their collapse continues in a new Quinnipiac poll:

51% Democrats (+1)
38% Republicans (-1)

Source

I like that! We should stop trying to bring Limo and Lear to reason and just fight fire with fire!

[kph14]

Republicans lead by only 6% in ALL of the districts they hold.

According to Kyle Kondik, Clinton won the Democratic districts by 34 (now 38), while Trump won the Republican districts by 21 (now 6). That actually makes a lot of sense, as Democrats can't really outperform in the big cities and it also fits perfectly to the special election results in KS-4, MT-AL, SC-05 and various state legislative elections that happened over the last year.

[kph14]

CNN:

Democrats 54%
Republicans 38%

Source

ENTHUSIASTIC VOTERS
Choice for Congress
 
Democrat           61%
Republican         35%


Lordy...

I'd be interested in knowing how this compares to 2010, 2006, 2008, 1994, etc.

Historic data from the poll - Registered Democrats which are "Extremely enthusiastic" or "Very
enthusiastic"
Feb 2018: 52%
Sep 2014: 28%
Jan 2010: 31%

Registered Republicans which are "Extremely enthusiastic" or "Very enthusiastic"
Feb 2018: 40%
Sep 2014: 37%
Jan 2010: 49%

[kph14]

HOLLY FYCK!!!

How is this a good thing? This just proves the Democratic advantage is packed in already-Dem districts.

If the districts were drawn fairly, you would expect Democrats to pick up around half of the Republican seats... So around 120...

[kph14]

PPP (03/23-03/25)
Democrats   50% (+2)
Republicans  39% (-1)

Last poll was 02/09-02/11
https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/PPP_Release_National_32718.pdf