MO-SEN 2018: The Megathread (user search)
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  MO-SEN 2018: The Megathread (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Rate this race
#1
Safe D
 
#2
Likely D
 
#3
Lean D
 
#4
Tilt D
 
#5
Tossup
 
#6
Tilt R
 
#7
Lean R
 
#8
Likely R
 
#9
Safe R
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 284

Author Topic: MO-SEN 2018: The Megathread  (Read 133014 times)
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,769


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« on: January 08, 2018, 03:53:54 PM »

So I took the recent poll apart by Demographics, and put it back together with what the likely actual Demographics will be, and Claire McCaskill is leading by 6% under the most conservative estimations possible.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,769


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #1 on: February 04, 2018, 12:32:27 PM »


McCaskill denies responsibility
Wagner denies responisbility
The DSCC denies responsibility
The RSCC denies responisbility

Who could it be?
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,769


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #2 on: February 08, 2018, 04:13:11 PM »

Claire McCaskill is probably going to wait until it is closer to the election before making a statement on RTW.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,769


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #3 on: June 02, 2018, 08:24:46 AM »

>Not Sykes
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,769


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #4 on: June 06, 2018, 07:42:14 PM »

Due to the recent special election, this race is now Lean Democratic. Just half a year ago Republicans thought this was a gimme, now they're the underdogs here.

They were always the underdogs.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,769


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #5 on: June 06, 2018, 07:47:50 PM »

Due to the recent special election, this race is now Lean Democratic. Just half a year ago Republicans thought this was a gimme, now they're the underdogs here.

They were always the underdogs.
This race isn't Safe D.
I already moved it out of the Safe D column in my official atlas prediction. Simply have not yet gotten around to it in the google doc yet though.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,769


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #6 on: June 14, 2018, 08:24:06 AM »

I always had this race at Likely D.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,769


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #7 on: July 09, 2018, 01:57:23 PM »

Hawley has connections with an extremist anti-lgbtq group.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,769


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #8 on: July 15, 2018, 05:29:09 PM »

I just calculated this:

Apparently even if one takes the following Counties out of calculation:

St. Louis City
Jackson
St. Louis
Boone

(basically all the Counties in the state Obama won in 2012)

McCaskill still won the remainder by 10,227 votes in 2012.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,769


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #9 on: July 24, 2018, 11:25:36 AM »

Businesses linked to McCaskill’s husband get $131 million in federal dollars

kansascity.com/latest-news/article215234680.html

Lol

This will not be an issue.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,769


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #10 on: July 25, 2018, 07:38:39 PM »

Race is not a toss up. Courtland Sykes will likely be the nominee

Why do you think that?
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,769


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #11 on: August 10, 2018, 05:41:54 PM »

Will the pledge of the new Democrat nominee for prosecutor in St. Louis County to repoen the Ferguson Michael Brown case have any effect on the Senate race?
No lol
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,769


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #12 on: September 19, 2018, 10:01:46 PM »

Likely D
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,769


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #13 on: October 20, 2018, 09:31:12 PM »

Apparently, there is a ballot measure on the ballot this year, that if passed, would almost guarantee that the winner of this years state auditor election gets a congressional map that they like for the next redistricting cycle.
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