ND-SEN: But you are, Blanche, you are (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 05, 2024, 04:04:03 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  ND-SEN: But you are, Blanche, you are (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: ND-SEN: But you are, Blanche, you are  (Read 109851 times)
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« on: June 02, 2018, 06:14:20 PM »

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

That was Arkansas Yankees first post on the forum.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #1 on: September 26, 2018, 10:13:12 AM »

Kevin Cramer is making lots of gaffes.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #2 on: October 04, 2018, 01:36:46 PM »

The only reason Kavanaugh is popular in North Dakota is because Conservative groups have been smashing the airwaves there with pro-Kavanaugh ads. If Democrats spend a million dollars or so on anti-Kavanaugh ads in the state, that will make him unpopular.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #3 on: October 04, 2018, 01:41:49 PM »

I think that by running about a million dollars worth of anti-Kavanaugh ads in North Dakota, it could be enough to move the polls back to a Heitkamp lead, even if one was to believe that the Cramer + 12 poll was legit.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #4 on: October 04, 2018, 01:49:16 PM »

I think that by running about a million dollars worth of anti-Kavanaugh ads in North Dakota, it could be enough to move the polls back to a Heitkamp lead, even if one was to believe that the Cramer + 12 poll was legit.

It makes no difference. Atlas pretends it matters to explain away what it dont know. The goalposts of why someone wins or loses is constantly moving on this site

If it makes no difference, then why did Conservative groups decide to spend millions of dollars on pro-Kavanaugh ads, with a heavy focus on North Dakota.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #5 on: October 04, 2018, 02:42:39 PM »

The plan appears to be that she will vote against Kavanaugh, and run a bunch of anti-Kavanaugh ads statewide to make that the popular position.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #6 on: October 04, 2018, 02:46:45 PM »



Either the race is completely over, or the NRCC is making another really stupid decision by forfeiting the entirety of the airwaves.

It is the latter for sure. This gives Democrats an even better position to define the race in the last stretch.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #7 on: October 18, 2018, 07:34:01 PM »

To be frank, I believe that what Heitkamp did was an honest error, and that responsibility falls upon newspapers in cases like this to catch errors like this and to make sure that this type of mistake does not go through.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #8 on: October 22, 2018, 10:07:31 PM »

Something to keep in mind:

There are a lot of farmers in North Dakota. The tariffs are going to be in the news again in a few days, because harvesting season for many of the crops where retaliatory tariffs were placed literally falls in the time between now and election day. Because of how close it is to election day, farmers will not have time to forget. Considering that it will be simple and straightforward to explain how Trump is responsible for this, and because most farmers usually vote Republican, and because there are so many of them in the state, this could legitimately be enough to move the race towards the end by even more points than the worst polls currently show Heitkamp trailing, if the Heitkamp campaign aggressively pushed this point in the final 2 weeks. The Heitkamp campaign is well funded at this point, so they have the resources they need if they are to be aggressive on this issue.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #9 on: October 30, 2018, 11:16:51 AM »

The ND polls are heavily understating support for Heitkamp.
The SD polls are heavily understating support for Noem.

At least 1 of the above 2 statements has to be true, not sure if anyone can tell with certainty which is true, and it is also possible that both are true.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.034 seconds with 10 queries.