OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7 (user search)
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  OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7  (Read 111896 times)
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« on: December 05, 2017, 07:47:34 PM »

he needs to resign now.

he already has a huge conflict of interest.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #1 on: January 04, 2018, 03:56:16 PM »

LOL

Usually, when I hear about people promising to do something like this by a certain date, I usually end up thinking that they plan on doing it on the very last date in the range, and that they had planned it that way all along.

So I was completely expecting January 31st.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #2 on: May 30, 2018, 04:15:34 PM »

If Lamb could win PA-18, then O Connor can win OH-12.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #3 on: June 01, 2018, 09:38:01 AM »

Melanie Leneghan, the Jim Jordan endorsed candidate who lost to Balderson by 653 votes, is going through with a recount request for precincts in Delaware, Franklin, Licking, and Muskingum counties.

I don't have any expectations of this doing anything. Would be hilarious if it resulted in someone being within like 5 votes though.

Hopefully this flips the primary.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #4 on: June 01, 2018, 10:03:11 AM »

Melanie Leneghan, the Jim Jordan endorsed candidate who lost to Balderson by 653 votes, is going through with a recount request for precincts in Delaware, Franklin, Licking, and Muskingum counties.

I don't have any expectations of this doing anything. Would be hilarious if it resulted in someone being within like 5 votes though.

Hopefully this flips the primary.

I wonder what would happen if a tie happened.

Probably they both move on to the general, making it even more likely that O Connor will win. That is how it works in California when there is a tie for 2nd.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #5 on: July 08, 2018, 10:06:14 PM »

A Republican win here would indicate that the national environment for Democrats has moved substantially towards the Republicans since the PA-18 special.

And there are no signs to indicate that the national environment has gotten any better for Republicans in the mean time, which is why I think O Connor is significantly favored.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #6 on: August 02, 2018, 03:11:18 PM »

Can we pass the COVFEFE Act yet?
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #7 on: August 02, 2018, 06:29:41 PM »

Guys, the party registration numbers are based on the 2018 primary, not the 2016 one.
Unless someone voted in the 2016 primary and not the 2018 primary.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #8 on: August 06, 2018, 09:52:30 AM »

Guys it’s Emerson

Though I think the range of outcomes has narrowed to something verrrry close in either direction

Which would be bad for Democrats.

Democrats need a sizable win of at least 3 points to prove that they have not lost momentum since the PA-18 special election.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #9 on: August 06, 2018, 03:31:24 PM »


Do the two of you want to lose money lol?
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #10 on: August 07, 2018, 03:34:23 PM »

I know we got some other primaries today, do any of them close before this race? Cause if they do it'd be fun to have something to watch.

OH: 07:30
MO: 08:00
MI: 09:00
KS: 09:00
WA: 11:00
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #11 on: August 07, 2018, 04:39:13 PM »

Bring on the anecdotal turnout and weather reports

Election day threads before the polls close is probably the worst content on Atlas, and that's saying something.

Blame LimoLiberal
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #12 on: August 07, 2018, 05:57:53 PM »


https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/08/07/us/elections/results-ohio-special-house-election-district-12.html
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #13 on: August 07, 2018, 06:48:03 PM »

O Connor won the Richland EV.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #14 on: August 07, 2018, 06:50:44 PM »

I feel like Republicans should give up on 2020 now.

Alittle too soon for that kind of talk.

There really is no doubt that Trump will lose re-election.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #15 on: August 07, 2018, 07:36:13 PM »

Nate Cohn is estimating a total turnout of 220K based on results so far.
Ouch.

Low turnout. Seems like good news for O Connor.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #16 on: August 07, 2018, 07:38:34 PM »

Nate Cohn is estimating a total turnout of 220K based on results so far.
Ouch.

Low turnout. Seems like good news for O Connor.
Isn't it high turnout that usually favors Democrats?


Low turnout benefits whichever party has the more enthused voters. In the current national environment, that is the Democratic Party.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #17 on: August 07, 2018, 09:22:26 PM »

Well ugh.

Democrats needed to win this by 3 or more points to prove that they had not lost momentum since the PA-18 special.

It seems that they did not win at all.
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