CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA (user search)
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  CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA (search mode)
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Author Topic: CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA  (Read 110326 times)
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,760


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #25 on: June 12, 2018, 07:56:34 PM »

Comstock is doing really really bad in a primary against the weird jorts guy while the Democrats dream candidate is winning by a wide margin. This might be the first GOP incumbent that the RNC has to triage.
The NRA would not let that happen.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,760


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #26 on: June 12, 2018, 08:03:29 PM »

Currently Shawn Moody (who even is he) is leading the ME-Gov R primary.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,760


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #27 on: June 12, 2018, 08:15:13 PM »

If Arrington wins the primary, the race moves from Safe R to Likely R.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,760


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #28 on: June 12, 2018, 08:18:04 PM »

Lucas leading by 6 votes right now.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,760


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #29 on: June 12, 2018, 08:20:25 PM »

Lucas now leading by 1 vote.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,760


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #30 on: June 12, 2018, 10:00:22 PM »

Hardy vs Horsford rematch incoming.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,760


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #31 on: June 12, 2018, 10:08:35 PM »


Such high energy! Maybe NV Democrats can finally consolidate their grip on the state govt for the first time in a generation.

2014 basically had no Democratic governor primary and Dem turnout was historically bad in both the primary and GE. 2010 would be a better comparison here.

There was a primary.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,760


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #32 on: June 12, 2018, 10:11:47 PM »


Such high energy! Maybe NV Democrats can finally consolidate their grip on the state govt for the first time in a generation.

2014 basically had no Democratic governor primary and Dem turnout was historically bad in both the primary and GE. 2010 would be a better comparison here.

There was a primary.

With basically some guys down the street running for it... IIRC None of these came in 1st.

None came in 1st, but Nevada law means that if None comes in 1st, then 2nd place gets nomination.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,760


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #33 on: June 12, 2018, 10:13:53 PM »

Androscoggin County, Maine seems to be saving the Democrats in ME-02.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,760


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #34 on: June 12, 2018, 10:18:40 PM »

Frustrated that the Waterville Mayor survived recall.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,760


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #35 on: June 12, 2018, 10:20:27 PM »

None of these Candidates (D) seems to be taking more votes than None of these Candidates (R).
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,760


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #36 on: June 12, 2018, 10:22:28 PM »


So they think Golden has it in the bag?
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,760


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #37 on: June 12, 2018, 10:31:13 PM »

Still absolutely nothing from NV-03 House reporting.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,760


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #38 on: June 12, 2018, 10:37:21 PM »

Danny Tarkanian will get a 2nd chance.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,760


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #39 on: June 12, 2018, 10:46:46 PM »

Thank the Democrats of Androscoggin County Maine for stopping Lucas.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,760


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #40 on: June 12, 2018, 10:51:32 PM »

So many women...




97% voted for a bro for California governor over a qualified woman elected twice statewide.

So many women...



Pat Spearman is losing badly though.

"A trend is occurring."

"BUT WHAT ABOUT THIS SINGLE DATA POINT? CHECKMATE."

I wasn't trying to make that argument.  I was pointing out that even with the general edge given to women candidates that she's still losing badly.  She was regarded as a serious candidate.
She stopped being a serious candidate when Horsford entered.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,760


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #41 on: June 12, 2018, 10:54:43 PM »

Anyways, does anyone think Stewart being on the top of the ticket increases the chance of a flip in VA-02, VA-05, and VA-07?
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,760


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #42 on: June 16, 2018, 02:23:10 PM »

I just finished casting a vote during an early voting period.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,760


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #43 on: June 20, 2018, 01:30:19 PM »

Leading by 999?
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,760


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #44 on: June 22, 2018, 09:29:16 PM »

Guess they were right about the remaining vote to be strongly pro-Rouda.

I am going to chalk it up as a lucky guess because they failed to provide a reason as to their prediction.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,760


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #45 on: June 25, 2018, 06:24:37 PM »

Please tell me that there was not an exact tie for 2nd in CA-48.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,760


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #46 on: June 26, 2018, 06:36:42 PM »

12 NYT tabs open for results.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,760


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #47 on: June 26, 2018, 06:39:06 PM »

We don't have a governor primary megathread in the statewide election board so I may as well post it here: What's with the insanely low turnout in Newberry County in SC? Half the precincts are in, but only 163 votes in a county that gave 2800 votes in total in the first round.

I also should add it's a Trump 60% county, so it's not like this can be explained by it being a black-majority county with not a lot of Republicans.

Honestly, I think it probably is a NYT error.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,760


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #48 on: June 26, 2018, 07:14:00 PM »

Still no votes tallied in Maryland, Mississippi, or Oklahoma.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,760


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #49 on: June 26, 2018, 07:16:12 PM »

Still no votes tallied in Maryland, Mississippi, or Oklahoma.

Oklahoma results are expected at 8:25 and Mississippi at 8:30, FWIW.

Based on numbers the New York Times pulled from a hat, and not actually anything that can be reasonably estimated.
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