Make an election map between you and the last two posters.

[TPIG]

ThatConservativeGuy - 348 EVs ~ 47% PV
Lord Sestak - 161 EVs ~ 35% PV
MB - 29 EVs ~ 18% PV

Sestak and MB would split the left-of-center vote, giving me an easy electoral win.

[TPIG]

Razze (D-Florida) - 417 EVs
ThatConservativeGuy (I-GA) -  66 EVs
OldiesFreak1854 (R-MI) - 55 EVs

OldiesFreak runs in an extremely crowded GOP primary field and manages to eek out a narrow win, but a sizable majority of the party is against his candidacy. Out of frustration with the lack of a true conservative on the ballot, ThatConservativeGuy launches an independent bid for the Presidency, fracturing the GOP. Razze runs a standard Democratic campaign with no gaffes and relative unity between the progressive and establishment wings of his party and coasts to victory.

[TPIG]

ThatConservativeGuy - 342 EVs/50.7% PV
MormDem - 196 EVs/43.2% PV
Thumb21 - 0 EVs/7.5% PV

MormDem's social conservatism/Mormonism tampers progressive support for him, but keeps ThatConservativeGuy below 60% in Utah and a few Appalachian states. MormDem also does well in  in Nevada (with its sizable Mormon population) . Thumb, running as a more economically moderate, yet less socially conservative alternative to MormDem, siphons away votes from the Democratic nominee in several swing states and helps to give ThatConservativeGuy a large electoral win.