FL-Tel Opinion Research: Biden 39, Sanders 16, others 5 or less

[Senator Incitatus]

Florida is one state where Sanders has absolutely no path to victory. The electorate is too old and too moderate.

(But every delegate counts.)

[Senator Incitatus]

I doubt Sanders is down 30 nationally if he's down 23 in one of his worst primary states...

That math doesn't necessarily track if it's not a two-way primary.

And I think what makes FL terrible for Sanders is his low ceiling, not a low floor. So he could be currently polling near his national average in the state, but unlike in other states, he's about capped out around 20-25% here.

[Senator Incitatus]

"As far as the Presidential election goes, which type of candidate would you prefer to vote for… someone who reflects your values and beliefs OR someone who has the better chance of beating President Donald Trump?"

                    Values       Beat Trump
Conservative    62               36
Moderate         59               40
Liberal             42               56

Curiously enough, only liberals choose beating Trump over their values.

Makes sense given that the least "liberal" candidate (which, uh, these terms are probably no longer applicable to the Democratic electorate) is also the most electable, they're the only group that has to make that trade-off.