The SC Election Day & Results Thread (user search)
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  The SC Election Day & Results Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: The SC Election Day & Results Thread  (Read 48425 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« on: January 21, 2012, 08:33:26 AM »




...

CNN here:

http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/state/sc

Associated Press here:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2012/by_state/SC_Page_0121.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2012/by_county/SC_Page_0121.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

...

First results & the Exit Poll numbers can be expected shortly after 7pm EST (1am Europe).
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #1 on: January 21, 2012, 09:03:09 AM »
Quote from: And then there were 4 on January 21, 2012, 08:54:04 AM
What time do you think it will be called tonight?

If the actual numbers are what PPP's final night was yesterday (40-26 for Newt), then it will be called pretty early.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #2 on: January 21, 2012, 07:01:38 PM »
Exit Poll is like a copy of the PPP poll ... Wink
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #3 on: January 21, 2012, 07:09:45 PM »
If the exit poll is true, my last prediction is not too bad (the earlier prediction would be even better).
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #4 on: January 21, 2012, 07:33:43 PM »
CNN's "dramatic announcement": Newt wins.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #5 on: January 21, 2012, 07:50:02 PM »
Santorum sounds clearly like he might drop out soon and endorse the Newt ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #6 on: January 21, 2012, 07:53:12 PM »
Quote from: Fmr. President Polnut on January 21, 2012, 07:50:56 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on January 21, 2012, 07:50:02 PM
Santorum sounds clearly like he might drop out soon and endorse the Newt ...

That's not what I'm hearing, lol

He's not saying right now, but I somehow don't think he stays in much longer than 10 days.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #7 on: January 21, 2012, 07:55:52 PM »
Quote from: Franzl on January 21, 2012, 07:53:26 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on January 21, 2012, 07:50:02 PM
Santorum sounds clearly like he might drop out soon and endorse the Newt ...

BTW, Tender...it's nice for me to finally watch primary coverage at a normal evening time. Shame I'm only here for SC and FL... Smiley

You are in the US right now ? Here it's already 2am .... Tongue

US elections should be held on Saturdays all the time IMO.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #8 on: January 21, 2012, 07:57:49 PM »
Quote from: Sam Spade on January 21, 2012, 07:53:55 PM
Just FYI - CNN exit poll adjusted for a 40-28-18-14 finish.

PPP and ARG (!!!) own the night !
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #9 on: January 21, 2012, 08:00:55 PM »
Quote from: Is frontrunner. Wins one state. on January 21, 2012, 07:58:37 PM
Mitt's body language just screams that he knows that this thing's slipping through his fingers.

He better drop out ... Wink
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #10 on: January 21, 2012, 08:06:00 PM »
BTW:

Where are all the Republicans on this forum tonight ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #11 on: January 21, 2012, 08:15:07 PM »
BTW:

Are the Super Tuesday states WTA or PR ?

Because if WTA, Gingrich could have more delegates than Romney there with GA, OK and TN alone, even without winning OH.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #12 on: January 21, 2012, 08:20:04 PM »
Quote from: Thomas D on January 21, 2012, 08:16:20 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on January 21, 2012, 08:15:07 PM
BTW:

Are the Super Tuesday states WTA or PR ?

Because if WTA, Gingrich could have more delegates than Romney there with GA, OK and TN alone, even without winning OH.

I think everything before April 1 is PR.

Well then, Newt's failure to get on the VA ballot will really annoy him ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #13 on: January 21, 2012, 08:39:09 PM »
Turnout seems to end up at 2008 levels:

ca. 450.000 voters
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #14 on: January 21, 2012, 08:44:18 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on January 21, 2012, 08:39:09 PM
Turnout seems to end up at 2008 levels:

ca. 450.000 voters

And because much more Independents voted this time, Republican turnout is actually down compared with 2008.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #15 on: January 21, 2012, 08:58:59 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on January 21, 2012, 08:44:18 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on January 21, 2012, 08:39:09 PM
Turnout seems to end up at 2008 levels:

ca. 450.000 voters

And because much more Independents voted this time, Republican turnout is actually down compared with 2008.

Looks like they changed the numbers: Looks more like 550-560.000 now.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #16 on: January 21, 2012, 09:04:44 PM »
2012:

550.000 turnout (71% Republicans acc. to Exit Poll) -> ca. 390.000 Republicans turned out

2008:

450.000 turnout (80% Republicans acc. to Exit Poll) -> ca. 360.000 Republicans turned out
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #17 on: January 21, 2012, 09:12:28 PM »
Quote from: Sam Spade on January 21, 2012, 09:07:53 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on January 21, 2012, 09:04:44 PM
2012:

550.000 turnout (71% Republicans acc. to Exit Poll) -> ca. 390.000 Republicans turned out

2008:

450.000 turnout (80% Republicans acc. to Exit Poll) -> ca. 360.000 Republicans turned out

White Independents in SC are not particularly Democratic-friendly, something we tend to forget.

How do we know these Indies are white ? Could be Dem-leaning Independents this time who vote in the GOP primary to elect the Newt.
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