ND-DFM Research: Romney leads Obama bei 19% (user search)
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  ND-DFM Research: Romney leads Obama bei 19% (search mode)
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Author Topic: ND-DFM Research: Romney leads Obama bei 19%  (Read 1143 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: April 28, 2012, 12:18:49 AM »

There could be 2 reasons for this result:

It's DFM Research, which already produced one of the most crappy ND polls in 2008, showing Obama winning by 3 when he lost by 9.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/10/16/632664/-ND-Pres-Another-poll-shows-Obama-lead

Or ND is becoming another Wyoming or Oklahoma because of the energy boom in the state.

The problem is we'll probably not getting more polls from credible sources such as PPP, Mason-Dixon or SurveyUSA.

Anyway, here is the release:

http://www.scribd.com/doc/91567464/DFM-Survey-Memo-4-27
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: April 28, 2012, 12:23:23 AM »

The party ID of this poll (R+13) isn't that much different to 2008's exit poll (R+10).

Which either means Obama loses a ton of Democrats to Romney, or Obama loses Independents by a ton (McCain already won them by 49-47 in 2008).
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