VA-Quinnipiac: Hillary wins Virginia against Christie & Paul (user search)
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  VA-Quinnipiac: Hillary wins Virginia against Christie & Paul (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA-Quinnipiac: Hillary wins Virginia against Christie & Paul  (Read 2349 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,199
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: July 17, 2013, 05:46:54 AM »

45-40 Clinton/Christie
51-37 Clinton/Paul

38-46 Biden/Christie
47-40 Biden/Paul

...

Favorables:

55-17 Christie (+38)
58-37 Clinton (+21)
36-32 Paul (+4)
47-44 Biden (+3)

...

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

46-51 disapprove

...

From July 11 - 15, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,030 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/virginia/release-detail?ReleaseID=1923
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,199
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: July 17, 2013, 06:18:46 AM »

Also, it looks like, according to the Quinnipiac polling universe, Virginia would most likely be the tipping point state in Christie vs. Clinton, since Christie is doing better than this in both Colorado and Ohio.

I'd like to see how Hillary polls against Christie in FL ... maybe we'll get that from Quinnipiac in a future poll, but with Rubio and Bush from there, Christie might not get included.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,199
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #2 on: July 17, 2013, 01:06:44 PM »

Quinnipiac showed a Kerry landslide and had Obama winning Ohio by 11 at one point. I don't care how far of a landslide on candidate has over the other, Ohio is never going to be an 11 point race in today's day and age.

Wut ?

No:

https://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?type=src&source_id=15

...

The last Quinnipiac poll from 2008 had Obama winning by 7 though (won by 5), and by 5 in 2012 (won by 3).
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,199
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #3 on: July 17, 2013, 01:25:43 PM »

There were times where Quinnipiac had Obama up by 11 in Ohio and Kerry up by a high amount over Bush. It doesn't compare to Gallup, PPP, USA Today, or other traditional polls.

Quinnipiac didn't even poll Ohio until 2006.

Quinnipiac also released their last national poll in 2004 in July.

And the fact that Obama was ahead by 11 in OH at the beginning of October was because of increased Democratic enthusiam, that other polls showed as well. Democrats did really well in early Oct. because that's when their voters tune in to the campaign, then Republicans gain in the final weeks. Other polls showed this increase in D-margin as well in other states.

Besides, only the final polls really matter and usually Quinnipiac polls are accurate.
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