2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original

[Tender Branson]

It seems the Dem. advantage has narrowed down to about 2% from about 8-10% a few months ago.

We'll need to wait for the TX and OH special elections to see if this is true or not ...

[Tender Branson]

It seems the Dem. advantage has narrowed down to about 2% from about 8-10% a few months ago.

We'll need to wait for the TX and OH special elections to see if this is true or not ...

Where are you getting 2%?

Look at today's RCP average.

It's 3% right now, with the last few polls only showing a 1-3% advantage ...

[Tender Branson]

Next Monmouth house district poll will be the OH-12 special election:

https://twitter.com/MonmouthPoll/status/1005106649605070849

... last special election before November.

What about TX-27 in a few weeks ?

[Tender Branson]

Next Monmouth house district poll will be the OH-12 special election:

https://twitter.com/MonmouthPoll/status/1005106649605070849

... last special election before November.

What about TX-27 in a few weeks ?

It’s the last chronologically; it’s in August

That doesn't make any sense either: the TX-27 runoff is in September and it's likely because there's a crowded field.

[Tender Branson]

Several NM house polls by Carroll Strategies:

U.S. Congress CD 1:

Democrat Debra Haaland – 47%
Republican Janice Arnold-Jones – 42.7%
Libertarian Lloyd Princeton – 3.6%
Undecided – 6.7%

U.S. Congress CD 2:

Republican Yvette Harrell – 48.5%
Democrat Xochitl Torres Small – 34.7%
Undecided - 16.8%

U.S. Congress CD 3:

Democrat Ben Ray Lujan – 58%
Republcan Jerald Steve McFall – 30%
Libertarian Christopher Mannin – 4.7%
Undecided – 7.2%

Plus:

Governor:

Democrat Michelle Lujan Grisham – 50.5%
Republican Steve Pearce – 42.1%
Libertarian Bob Walsh – 3.1%
Undecided – 4.3%

U.S. Senate:

Democrat Martin Heinrich – 49.8%
Republican Mick Rich – 39.3%
Libertarian Lloyd Princeton – 3.6%
Undecided – 6.7%

https://www.kob.com/politics-news/poll-lujan-grisham-leads-pearce-in-race-for-governor/4956518/

[Tender Branson]

Why is the TX-27 special election, which is already this Saturday, such a sleeper race ?

It's not all too Republican and the field is wide.

And no poll so far.