I imagine Hogan would rather run against Alsobrooks than Trone but I don’t know enough about her or about Maryland swing voters to say for sure.
There is no reason aside from Trone’s self-funding to assume Alsobrooks is weaker than Trone. Alsobrooks does not present like a #Squad member at all if that’s the insinuation. She’s very much part of the Dem establishment.
Atlas users, from what I've observed, tend to have a bias against black women politicians and often view them as weaker candidates. For what reasons, I'm not quite sure.
In this case, I think it is about Trone's money.
If Alsobrooks is the nominee, the DSCC will probably end up having to spend a significant amount in one of the country's bluest states despite having multiple seats to defend in red and purple states.
If it's Trone, they can let him self-fund while they can focus on Tester, Brown, Rosen, Baldwin, Gallego, Casey and Slotkin, not to mention putting a bit towards offense in Texas and maybe Florida.
The DSCC doesn’t need to spend a dime in this race. It’s basically fools gold like TN 2018 and MT 2020.
It doesn't matter what fundamentals or past results say, if polls remain even remotely close, they'll have to spend here. Because can you imagine if they don't, and then Hogan wins? They'll never live that one down. People still blame Clinton for not campaigning in Wisconsin to this very day.
