You should move NY-19 to tilt R or lean R. The new PPP poll is brutal and it looks like your predictions about suburban/exurban areas turning the hardest against the Democrats/Obama are true. Obama only has a 39% approval rating for the district and Schumer has 40/50 favorables.
Wow, I just found that. I'm glad somebody finally did a public poll. No wonder Hall is all over the air now. I really want to see NY-20 too although I suspect Murphy is in considerably better shape.
http://www.nationalreview.com/campaign-spot/246500/toss-ny-19-already-high-potential-gop-win-pile
