New 2018 Senate control rating?

[King Lear]

I say it goes from Safe R to Likely R, the pathway to a Democratic majority is to hold all their vulnerable senate seats and pickup Nevada and Arizona. This is a much easier pathway then before jones won Alabama, however democrats cannot get complacent because they still have to defend 5 double-digit trump seats along with closely contested seats in Florida and Ohio.

[King Lear]

Safe R to Likely R, The path to a democratic majority involves picking up the Nevada and Arizona seats while holding all their vulnerable seats, this is a much easier path to a majority then that which existed before jones won, however If democrats get overconfident they could still potentially lose their five double-digit trump seats and the highly competitive seats in Ohio and Florida.