The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread, Part 2

[NevadanAtHeart]

This thread is getting sort of of odd.

[NevadanAtHeart]

Senator Kirsten Gillibrand becomes another rumored 2020 Democratic candidate in saying that she will no longer accept corporate PAC campaign donations.

Booker too IIRC.

Yep, along with, as mentioned in another thread, Sanders and Warren.

[NevadanAtHeart]

Brian Schatz not running for president:

http://www.civilbeat.org/2018/04/schatz-for-president-in-2020-dont-count-on-it-he-says/

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It's okay, he'll just be the next Secretary of Energy.

[NevadanAtHeart]

Al Sharpton interviewed Biden on MSNBC and asked him about 2020.  Here’s his response:

https://www.msnbc.com/politicsnation/watch/will-joe-biden-run-in-2020-1209266755806

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Wasn't this from a few weeks ago or am I having deja vu?

[NevadanAtHeart]

Sherrod Brown's participation at the CAP Ideas Conference prompts the obvious question about whether he has presidential ambitions.  Here's his response:

https://www.daytondailynews.com/news/national-govt--politics/brown-appearance-forum-begs-question-running-for-president/8kNBLZZHzENgG1ZQzspYJJ/
http://www.dispatch.com/news/20180516/sherrod-brown-says-he-has-no-interest-in-2020-presidential-bid

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Please run Sherrod

[NevadanAtHeart]

Charlie Baker spokesman asked about 2020:

link

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Honestly, I don't get Atlas's obsession with the word "focused". I understand that it's a word commonly used in clear non-denials, but it's also not always indicative of a non-denial. "Absolutely not" seems like a pretty telling indicator -- at least much more so than Atlas's favorite buzzword -- and imo it's almost disingenuous to point out the use of the F word as something that's suddenly important.

[NevadanAtHeart]

https://www.cnn.com/2018/07/20/politics/2020-democrats-chat/index.html “Part 2” of their definitive ranking. They go over what they missed, and Chris makes a good case that Bullock is a hidden liberal. He was the first governor to order net neutrality be protected, banned “dark money” in MT elections post-Citizens United, passed an equal pay bill, refused to send the MT National Guard to the border, and fought as a private citizen for a minimum wage ballot measure.

They compared Bernie Sanders to Rick Santorum.
These people have absolutely no clue about politics.

... I mean, you're forgetting to include the actual content of the comparison. Let's walk through it, yeah?

Harry says that, from reviewing the feedback of the article, he "think people think, 'Oh, Bernie was No. 2 last time and he's very popular,' so therefore he should be high up." Given that he's probably read more feedback than you, I'd wager that he probably has a better grasp on the gist of it too. In short, he thinks that people are reverting to previous results and popularity as a mental heuristic.

Then he says that performing well in the past is no indicator of the future. THIS is where he uses the example of Santorum. He performed well in 2012. He didn't perform well in 2016. These are also facts.

You're right in that there's more to the story than just finishing second. But that's literally his point. He thinks things are different than they were in 2016, so that heuristic people reverted to is useless. He then tells us what specifically is different this time around for Bernie. If you want to say that THAT is bunk, than go ahead. But don't discredit yourself by throwing out a strawman like "he used a comparison so this is wrong".

[NevadanAtHeart]

While in NH, Hickenlooper updates his 2020 decision timeline:

https://twitter.com/steinhauserNH1/status/1022632593618071552

At this point id be willing to bet good money that he runs. He doesn't have much to lose and given his age he most likely wont have another shot after 2020.

Worst comes to worst, though, he gets a Secretaryship, likely Interior.