CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA

[Coastal Elitist]

It's hard to be strategic when there are so many candidates running in the competitive CA races.

[Coastal Elitist]

Currently a little over one million mail-in ballots have been turned in.
http://www.politicaldata.com/absentee-vote-tracker/

Democrats: 44%
Republicans 33%
No Party Preference: 18%
Other: 4%

A further look at the current numbers shows that Republicans have a turn in advantage in every city in Orange County except Santa Ana, Laguna Beach, Laguna Woods, Seal Beach and Stanton. Buena Park currently is tied percentage wise. Orange County Republicans seem to be motivated to vote. Republicans hold a large advantage in CA-39 (+12), CA-45 (+16) and CA-48 (+11). They hold a narrow margin in CA-49 (+2).

[Coastal Elitist]

Currently a little over one million mail-in ballots have been turned in.
http://www.politicaldata.com/absentee-vote-tracker/

Democrats: 44%
Republicans 33%
No Party Preference: 18%
Other: 4%

A further look at the current numbers shows that Republicans have a turn in advantage in every city in Orange County except Santa Ana, Laguna Beach, Laguna Woods, Seal Beach and Stanton. Buena Park currently is tied percentage wise. Orange County Republicans seem to be motivated to vote. Republicans hold a large advantage in CA-39 (+12), CA-45 (+16) and CA-48 (+11). They hold a narrow margin in CA-49 (+2).

What percent of ballots are expected to be mail vs. in-person?

In the last midterm in 2014, 3,096,104 voted by mail and 4,461,346 voted in person. You can see historical data from past elections here: http://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/historical-absentee/

[Coastal Elitist]

With under a week left until June 5th. Here is the current composition of mail in ballots in California.
12% or 1,404,822 ballots have been returned:

44% Democratic
34% Republican
18% No Party Preference
4% Other

Demographics:
73% White
14% Latino
11% Asian
2% African American

Age:
50% 65 +
27% 50-64
13% 35-49
10% 18-34

[Coastal Elitist]

With under a week left until June 5th. Here is the current composition of mail in ballots in California.
12% or 1,404,822 ballots have been returned:

44% Democratic
34% Republican
18% No Party Preference
4% Other

Demographics:
73% White
14% Latino
11% Asian
2% African American

Age:
50% 65 +
27% 50-64
13% 35-49
10% 18-34

Does that number include counties that have mailed out ballots to every registered voter?

Yes. It's all here: http://www.politicaldata.com/absentee-vote-tracker/2014/

[Coastal Elitist]

Votes counted today were very Democratic:

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1006336569282912257

That's cause Alameda, San Francisco, Santa Clara and Santa Cruz all updated totals today while a bunch of the rural counties haven't updated in awhile. Also when that tweet was sent not all the updates were in. The SOS website shows that 5,287,829 votes have been counted.