2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread

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PRRI, Sep. 17 - Oct. 1, 2509 adults (change from last month)

D: 57 (+13)
R: 39 (+4)

Note: 538 is showing this as 48/39, but the PDF clearly has 57 rather than 48.

Yeah, I don't see Dems getting 18% of the popular vote.  If that's the case, not only do Dems hold all their 2012 seats, but they also pick up AZ, NV, TN, TX, and MS-Special.

I'd like to see a few more polls to corroborate this.

Well, the LA Times poll this morning was D+17.  But yeah, this large a jump needs more corroboration.

It's much more likely that Republicans actually win the house popular vote than for the democrats to win it by such an absurdly high number.

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https://www.emerson.edu/news-events/emerson-college-today/emerson-poll-west-virginia-senate-race-tightens-texas-senate-race-remains-close-republicans-look-hold-three-house-seats-wv

West Virginia US Congress District 1

MM, LV, Oct 28-31, n=341, +/-5.5%

David McKinley (R-Inc) 57%, Kendra Fershee (D) 32%, 11% undecided

West Virginia US Congress District 2

MM, LV, Oct 28-31, n=344, +/-5.5%

Alexander Mooney (R-Inc) 47%, Talley Sergent (D) 39%, 10% undecided

West Virginia US Congress District 3

MM, LV, Oct 28-31, n=328, +/-5.5%

Carol Miller (R) 52%, Richard Ojeda (D) 45%, 3% undecided

Morrisey and Miller primed for the win.

I seriously am surprised you havent been kicked off the Congressional board at this point. At this point, you're just another Limo.

I didn't know that being a disciple of the bluenami cult was a requirement for being permitted on the congressional board.
Half of Bagel's statement is objectively true, Miller is favored to win. The other half is an embellishment, but it's certainly a slim possibility that Morrisey could win. Honestly, Bagel's concern trolling is usually about as tolerable and reasonable if not more so than your hackery.

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How do Horn, McAdams, and Cunningham win again?  They're among my favorites of the new class so far.

"libertarian"

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Yeah, but IL-14 is a Toss-Up because muh PVI and Trump won it in 2016 (by 6 points less than Romney.)

Leninist Lauren might win again, but it won't be by much.

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Fmr. TX-32 Rep. Sessions running for open TX-17

What should we call this phenomenon? The Issa strategy?

At least Issa was just moving to the district next door in the same county that had territory that was in a prior version of his district. Maybe the Kirkpatrick strategy?

It's awful but nowhere near as bad as in Canada, where politicians parachute into some random riding on the other side of the country to get into parliament.