A lot of these Democratic Senators are remnants of the past. The cycles of 2010 and 2014 destroyed a lot of them especially in deep red states and many survived in 2012 by being lucky, running great campaigns or a combination of both.
So I understand why many are suspicious of them holding on even in a poor Republican climate of 2018 and how the anti Democratic trend in those states may be too much to over come.
But it would be interesting to see how many of these deep Republican state Democratic Senators hold on under a Republican midterm versus a Democratic midterm.
I have not been posting as much lately as it seems way to early and too many unknowns to make any accurate assumptions.
Recent midterms tend to favor the GOP and the party out of power at the same time.
1994= Gop wipe out.
1998= GOP over reach allowed Democrats to make modest house gains and break even in the senate iirc.
2002= Bush popularity allowed gop to make modest house gains and a net gain of one in the us senate.
2006= Bush was very unpopular and Democrats were able to net 31 seats. Decent number but still pales in comparison to gop waves. To be fair though, Democrats held many Bush districts so their playing field was not as great.
2010= Huge GOP wave under a Obama who was unpopular but not as unpopular as Bush.
2014= GOP performed very well in the US Senate races and gained 14 seats in the house but gains were limited to to almost being maxed out.
2018= Democrats net gain 30 seats but lose two Senate seats???
2018 will come down to how favorable the national environment will be for Democrats. Some of us will be either really right or really wrong. But with Trump already more unpopular than Bush '06, Clinton '94, Reagan '82, and Obama '10 and '14 only five months in, I would not be wiling to bet on a big GOP Senate gain.
oh yea I just just saying that recent midterms have seemed to favor the GOP and Party out of power at same time and with so much time and unknowns until November 2018 it is fruitless to argue non stop.
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