JB Pritker trailed congressional Democrats in the collar counties (user search)
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  JB Pritker trailed congressional Democrats in the collar counties (search mode)
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Author Topic: JB Pritker trailed congressional Democrats in the collar counties  (Read 3575 times)
jamestroll
jamespol
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« on: November 09, 2018, 05:05:42 PM »

Collar Counties being unified with a divergence?

Lake County Democrats won races for County Treasurer and County Clerk with the Sheriff's contest still too close to call with the Republican incumbent barely in the lead. In addition, Lake County Democrats have a majority on the county board for the first time ever

Lake County, Illinois is the most Democratic of the collar counties. But there has been quite a unity in voting patterns in all the collar counties.

JB Pritzker trailed congressional Democrats significantly in all the counties touching Cook County. Even trailed most of the statewide down ballot. kwame raoul was able to pass the 50% mark in DuPage County. Something that J.B. Pritker could not do.

Even after the results I still see a pathway for the GOP to win an executive office in Illinois. So JB Pritzker will need to work on his image which is often unfairly tarnished.

DuPage County: JB Pritzker won by 1.1% over Bruce Rauner with 47.8% of the vote. A first for a Democratic gubernatorial candidate. For federal offices of congress the Democrats smashed the GOP 57% to 42%.

Will County: JB Pritzer won by a 6% margin while congressional Democrats won it 57 to 42% as well.

Lake County: JB Pritzker was able to pass the 50% margin here and won 51.1% in a 7.3% margin. Democrats for congress earned 61%!!!!

McHenry County: Rauner won 53% to Pritzker's 40%. As of now the final congressional tally is too close to call in McHenry County pending provisionals and mail in ballots.

Kane County: Pritzker won by less than 2% here yet congressional Democrats won 56% of the congressional vote.

Despite all that Pritzker won by a solid margin statewide which shows the power of Cook County despite the unexpected heavy GOP trend of downstate Illinois even in 2018.

It is still very interesting how close Will, Kane and DuPage counties were in the congressional vote.

Despite downstate results we still outperformed final polls and held Mike Bost to 51% and Davis almost lost despite polls showing him leading modestly to bigly. Demographics in many of those downstate cities will keep it from going extreme Republican down there.

Also:

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https://www.chicagotribune.com/suburbs/naperville-sun/news/ct-nvs-dupage-democratic-showing-st-1109-story.html

In 2014 Dick Durbin won statewide by 10 points and lost DuPage County by 5 points. In this post 2016 world Kwame Raoul won Attorney General statewide by 10 over a credible Republican challenge and won DuPage County by 3. Huge shift.  In 2014 Lisa Madigans 24 point victory statewide only lead to a 52 to 45 victory in DuPage County.


haahhahaahahah rino tom
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jamestroll
jamespol
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« Reply #1 on: November 09, 2018, 05:20:02 PM »

Also, results outside of Cook County:

Rauner - 1,308,842 (48%)
Pritzker - 1,174,156 (43%)
McCann (C) - 156,716 (6%)
Jackson (L) - 71,859 (3%)

Just goes to show that Cook County should be its own state. The rest of IL didn't want Pritzker.


It is not clear if the third parties really hurt Pritzker or Rauner.

Consider this: Downballot statewide Democrats outperformed Pritker in all the Collar Counties and like I just stated the congressional Democrats way outperformed Pritzker in the collar counties.

I think McCann may have cost Pritker Madison County, Illinois.  But it is impossible to know.

And Rauner being under 50% outside of Cook County when a counter wave hit downstate Illinois is not impressive.
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jamestroll
jamespol
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« Reply #2 on: November 09, 2018, 05:26:40 PM »

Lake and Will counties may just be too far gone for the GOP by 2022 for the GOP to really mount a bid against JB Pritzker and actually win.

But who knows. Illinois may get its own Charlie Baker.
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jamestroll
jamespol
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« Reply #3 on: November 09, 2018, 05:46:38 PM »

Lake and Will counties may just be too far gone for the GOP by 2022 for the GOP to really mount a bid against JB Pritzker and actually win.

But who knows. Illinois may get its own Charlie Baker.


Duckworth is up for reelection in 2022, there won't be any Charlie Barker or Pritzker


What??

I think it is fairly safe to say that she will do much better in the collar counties and much worse in the metro east compared to 2016. She probably can not get Madison County again.
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jamestroll
jamespol
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« Reply #4 on: November 09, 2018, 08:14:39 PM »

Controversial candidate JB Pritzker accomplished what Gavin Newsom coud not do. Win the quintessential GOP suburban bastion of the state.
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jamestroll
jamespol
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« Reply #5 on: November 10, 2018, 06:54:16 PM »

Of course. Pritzker is trash and Rauner despite his failed tenure as governor was a pretty good fit for the Collar Counties.

I wish IL Dems could've nominated a strong candidate like Obama or Duckworth to make the IL GOP suffer even more. Maybe they could've dragged Rodney Davis down in the process.

Pritzker was the first gubernatorial Democratic candidate to win DuPage County since the 1930s and every single county wide office went Democratic in Will County. The same almost happened in Lake.

Pre-election polls often showed Pritzker trailing in the Collar Counties but many of the undecideds ended up breaking for Pritzker.. lmao.

Imagine telling someone 10 years ago that a candidate like Pritzker would be the one who breaks through and wins DuPage County for a Democrat while losing Madison County, Illinois.

Though to be frank I think McCann may have cost Pritzker Madison County. He did have strong union support as well. Probably took votes from both major party candidates.
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jamestroll
jamespol
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« Reply #6 on: November 10, 2018, 09:12:35 PM »

We run competitive campaigns in downstate despite the counter wave. We should look at it from a neutral light at the very least.

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jamestroll
jamespol
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« Reply #7 on: November 10, 2018, 10:16:51 PM »

We run competitive campaigns in downstate despite the counter wave. We should look at it from a neutral light at the very least.



I mean Brendan Kelly was basically the strongest recruit you could get there and he still lost by 4 even adding the Green party vote.
The 13th swung R but it didn't do so massively because of UIUC so its prety obvious to combine East St louis with UIUC in 2020.

They will probably do that but it would be a very ugly looking district.

Bustos should run for US Senate if Durbin retires in 2020. Her district will probably go Republican pretty soon.
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jamestroll
jamespol
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« Reply #8 on: November 21, 2018, 01:27:29 AM »

The combined congressional vote in McHenry County was 51% Democratic to 49% Republican even with Pritkzer losing to Rauner there big. This is happening while Democrats lost the Madison County Congressional vote combined in the Metro East!

hahaha

Also in DuPage County final vote totals show Democrats picked up another state senate seat.. Ellman defeated Connelly in SD 21.

In Lake County the Democrats officially have control of the Lake County board for the first time in history and this was topped off with the longest serving board member, Carol Calabresa (R), being defeated.

In the biggest upset, John Idleburg (D) defeated Mark Curran (R) for Lake County Sheriff in final vote totals. Even I did not expect that!
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jamestroll
jamespol
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« Reply #9 on: December 07, 2018, 12:50:18 AM »

Pritzker already kinda underperformed, but he would've underperformed even worse if not for McCann. Pretty pathetic.

I bet most of those Rauner/Casten and Rauner/Underwood voters would've been winnable with a candidate who wasn't garbage.

Yes. Yes. Yes. Also I do believe Illinois-13 may have flipped with a better Democratic candidate on top of the ticket.

But this is the first time ever that all statewide Democrats won all the collar counties, even DuPage and except McHenry.

McCann did have union support and I actually think he took from Pritzker and Rauner to be honest.
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jamestroll
jamespol
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« Reply #10 on: February 13, 2019, 10:19:11 PM »

LOL!

In Lake County, Illinois Bruce Rauner only trailed Donald Trumps vote total by just under 500 votes and actually exceeded Donald Trumps raw vote total in DuPage by around 2,000 votes. This happened simultaneously as Pritzker became the first Democratic gubernatorial candidate to win DuPage County since the 1930s.

We have got to imagine how much Rauner would have been humiliated if a better Democrat was the nominee.
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