2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread v2 (user search)
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  2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread v2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread v2  (Read 172733 times)
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,856
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« on: March 20, 2018, 06:25:31 PM »

I welcome the Republican hubris. It will make them easier to beat when the Democrat runs on actual issues and the Republicans continue to scream about antifa, MS-13, Clinton's emails, and Nancy Pelosi. They think it works still and I am completely fine with that.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,856
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #1 on: March 23, 2018, 05:24:42 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on March 23, 2018, 02:23:26 PM
Not directly relevant to congressional races but...



This could be. I'm iffy on Lance's chances (hey that rhymes!) in November. It is quite funny though how post redistricting his district was meant to have been made safer for him but now there is a real chance that he's in danger if the town of Millburn, Union, and Somerset counties vote for his opponent by similar numbers that they did for Clinton.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,856
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #2 on: June 06, 2018, 07:38:56 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on June 06, 2018, 03:15:12 PM
Strange they didn't move 39 back, it was lean D for a while there, but was moved back because of uncertainty in the primary.

NJ definitely has republicans spooked though. They got a piss-poor recruit in NJ-02 basically forcing the  already expected triage. In the other three main one: NJ-03, NJ-7, NJ-11, dems have quality recruits facing quality rep recruits in a dem state in a dem year - or a republican ballot advantage in NJ-03. Oh, and dems won the turnout game yesterday in all but one seat, and that one they lost featured a brutal Rep primary that burned countless donor money - encouraging high turnout.



The NJ-05 Republican primary was truly a sight to behold. Both Republicans were trying to out-Trump each other in a district that Trump won by 1%. I was mildly surprised that the less recognizable candidate won. Lonegan is a perpetual loser.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,856
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #3 on: June 19, 2018, 07:37:58 PM »

We're the big tent party. We can accept differences if it furthers our interests. We aren't a cult.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,856
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #4 on: June 20, 2018, 06:28:11 PM »
Quote from: Solid4096 on June 19, 2018, 09:11:44 PM
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on June 19, 2018, 07:37:58 PM

We're the big tent party. We can accept differences if it furthers our interests. We aren't a cult.

Are you using the drumpfinator chrome extension?

Yes actually, it still provides me a small laugh every now and then. I sure could use it at times. I didn't know that other people could see it though. Maybe I'll take it off then.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,856
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #5 on: June 21, 2018, 04:41:48 PM »
« Edited: June 21, 2018, 05:38:10 PM by Progressive Pessimist »
Quote from: Solid4096 on June 20, 2018, 09:50:55 PM
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on June 20, 2018, 06:28:11 PM
Quote from: Solid4096 on June 19, 2018, 09:11:44 PM
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on June 19, 2018, 07:37:58 PM

We're the big tent party. We can accept differences if it furthers our interests. We aren't a cult.

Are you using the drumpfinator chrome extension?

Yes actually, it still provides me a small laugh every now and then. I sure could use it at times. I didn't know that other people could see it though. Maybe I'll take it off then.

It literally changed the content of Arkansas Yankees quote in your post.

I didn't notice that since every time Trump's name appeared, it changed to "Drumpf." Anyway, I took it off. Crisis solved.

Going back to what's relevant I am pretty much in line with Sabato's Senate ratings (except New Jersey-Safe D) and even Daily Kos' House ratings, maybe like 90% of them. ME-02 sticks out as something that should be a tossup at worst.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,856
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #6 on: June 27, 2018, 07:42:02 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 27, 2018, 07:38:09 PM


New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and Virginia might just be the ground zero states for the Republican suburban collapse. 
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,856
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #7 on: July 13, 2018, 06:26:58 PM »
Quote from: ajc0918 on July 13, 2018, 09:10:54 AM
Quote from: KingSweden on July 13, 2018, 09:08:53 AM
Quote from: ajc0918 on July 13, 2018, 09:03:32 AM
Vern Buchanan in FL-16 is in trouble. Any money he spent on tv ads just went down the drain with the coverage of him purchasing a $3M yacht the same day the GOP Tax Bill passed. He will still likely win but hopefully has to work for it.

Oof did he really? That’s... not a good headline.

Yep.

Report: Vern Buchanan bought yacht on the same day he voted for tax bill
Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

https://www.bradenton.com/news/politics-government/article214766330.htm

Most voters won't care. Trump bragged about his wealth and yachts...in North Dakota of all places. Yet his audience still ate it up. "Yay elitism!"
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,856
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #8 on: July 16, 2018, 06:38:48 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on July 16, 2018, 06:16:19 PM
RIP Virginia Republican Party



*Spit take*
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,856
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #9 on: July 18, 2018, 07:30:34 PM »

The GOP should have expected this. Donors know that they would be better off using their money as toilet paper at this point.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,856
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #10 on: July 24, 2018, 07:27:38 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on July 24, 2018, 06:55:54 PM
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on July 24, 2018, 06:52:15 PM
Quote from: IceSpear on July 24, 2018, 06:34:17 PM
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on July 24, 2018, 06:09:51 PM
Quote from: IceSpear on July 24, 2018, 04:01:45 PM
Good thing King didn't run for statewide office in 2014, or he'd be a senator now.

Doubtful. Ernst was elected in large part because of her folksy, nice girl persona.
King's nasty personality and strident rhetoric would have turned off a lot of voters, so even Braley might have won in the end.

Trump's nasty personality and strident rhetoric didn't matter to them.


But Trump ran against the "WORST PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE EVAH!!!", remember?

Anyway, a presidential election is a much different beast than a senatorial one and 2016 was different than 2018.

Yeah, I agree. I think Dems pick up IA-01 and IA-03 this year and have a real chance at beating Reynolds. Political environment matters way more than candidate quality, which is actually quite unfortunate since it leads to garbage being washed ashore by waves.

Political poetry at its best.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,856
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #11 on: July 31, 2018, 06:50:06 PM »
Quote from: OneJ on July 31, 2018, 03:37:16 PM
Quote from: Ebsy on July 31, 2018, 02:29:07 PM
List of candidates/seats where Trump is contributing to the Republicans. Lots of... interesting... choices.

https://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/politics-government/article215768270.html

Senate seats:
PA, WY, TN, IN, ND, TX, NE, MO, NV, MN, MT, FL


So he's gonna contribute to Nebraska and Wyoming's senate races, but not Mississippi (the special in particular)? What a joke.

As usual, he is terrible with his finances.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,856
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #12 on: August 02, 2018, 07:14:17 PM »
Quote from: Zaybay on August 02, 2018, 12:59:17 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on August 02, 2018, 12:22:35 PM


Looks like the Kochs have finally met their match.

Also, this is a very good thing. By getting more Democrats dependent on donations from voters, rather than interests and PACs, the party should become less corrupt and independent of money.

If the Kochs want to actually help the Democrats, all they really have to do is not spend any money for Republicans. The Democratic Party doesn't need their money and may very well have the same positive effect as if they did.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,856
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #13 on: August 09, 2018, 07:38:59 PM »
MS-13 fear-mongering is like an addiction for Republicans. They always relapse.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,856
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #14 on: August 10, 2018, 08:21:27 PM »
Quote from: 136or142 on August 10, 2018, 10:08:06 AM
Likely one less Democratic candidate:

‘I hate this county.’ Democratic House candidate convicted of DUI unloads on cops

https://politics.myajc.com/news/state--regional-govt--politics/hate-this-county-democratic-house-candidate-convicted-dui-unloads-cops/T9B8qfyAjX7NnI725UV2VP/

For the posters on another thread, I don't think it's a surprise that the Democratic candidate in question here is Steven Foster.  And to think, this man has a medical degree.

I have to say, I kind of agree with this guy. But I'm not running for office. This probably won't be good for him.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,856
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #15 on: August 31, 2018, 07:43:21 PM »
« Edited: August 31, 2018, 07:52:51 PM by Progressive Pessimist »
Quote from: Ebsy on August 31, 2018, 12:34:51 PM
https://www.politico.com/story/2018/08/31/republicans-midterms-congress-vulnerable-lawmakers-gop-805496

Piece about likely triages from the NRCC. Includes Comstock, whose race is "unwinnable", Rothfus, Young and Blum in Iowa. Yoder in Kansas is also mentioned as complaining about the lack of financial support.

Most surprising to me is Young. I knew he was somewhat vulnerable, but to have his race triaged is truly noteworthy.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,856
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #16 on: September 06, 2018, 07:54:56 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on September 06, 2018, 06:31:34 PM


Please, please, please!
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,856
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #17 on: September 12, 2018, 08:24:20 PM »
Quote from: ON Progressive on September 12, 2018, 12:10:51 PM


I see lots of labels in "No Labels" spending, and all of the labels are Rs.

"No Labels" has always been a hack organization.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,856
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #18 on: September 21, 2018, 07:01:50 PM »
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on September 21, 2018, 04:14:33 PM
Quote from: Mondale on September 21, 2018, 03:00:22 PM


Lol.

Lamb shanked Rothfus before election day!
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,856
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #19 on: October 03, 2018, 07:32:14 PM »
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on October 03, 2018, 07:12:30 PM
B-but the whole Kavanaugh fiasco destroyed the Dem's chances Sad!!

It was all Diane Feinstein's fault for...whatever it was that she apparently did!
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