CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA

[Politician]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1004777899319283714?s=19

After today's update, Hans has stretched his lead to 129 votes.

Yikes. Rouda is clearly the better candidate here.

No he's not.

[Politician]

There's still at least 2.6 million votes left to count in California.

http://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/statewide-elections/2018-primary/unprocessed-ballots-report.pdf

Imagine if control of the House came down to a handful of close California races, and we needed to wait a month to know the results. lol

We'd have a month of Trump screaming on twitter about voter fraud.

[Politician]

I really don't understand how the GOP is spinning these results as "good news" for their party in November.

Because they avoided a D v. D situation in every notable race except for the Senate Race.

And so did the Democrats. You can't just say the Republicans did "well" since they were almost certain to make every race besides Senate and governor.

[Politician]

I really don't understand how the GOP is spinning these results as "good news" for their party in November.

Democrats didn’t get locked out of any of the competitive House races in California; Here’s why that could be a bad thing:

1. It means they have to spend money on them

Running for Congress is hard work and now, the DCCC will have to spend money to win these races, money that could be better used to help weak incumbent Senate candidates like Claire McCaskill or Joe Manchin, who now looks likely to lose reelection.

2. Look at how bad Democratic incumbents did

Ami Bera, Jim Costa, Raul Ruiz, John Garamendi, Jerry McNerney...the list of Democratic incumbents that underperformed is long. Just because Democrats didn’t get locked out doesn’t mean they will do well this year.

3. Their vote share was weak

With exception to CA-49, Democrats received fewer primary votes in every competitive district, meaning that they will lose in November.

4. Why bother? Gerrymandering means Democrats can’t win

Why try if failure is certain? Democrats should try to protect what they have and hope that compromising with the President will get them to a better place with working class whites.

5. There’s a Republican on the Gubernatorial ballot

This basically means all the Republicans will turn out and Democrats won’t. Yikes.

6. The generic ballot is close and shows that Democrats are losing fluid

Generic ballot polls have tightened in recent months and suggest that Democrats are losing votes; this could mean that they will even lose their close California seats in November. Polls have been fluid and suggest that no side has the advantage.

7. They didn’t get into the runoff for CA-08

Wow. Red Wave inbound.

Looks like Democrats have a lot of work to do before they can celebrate. Most likely, they won’t have much to celebrate in California this November.

Ummm no. We have a candidate in every race, the GOP's, not the Dem's, vote share is down across every district, turnout amongst Democrats was sky high, and the Generic ballot was being powered by crappy online polls like Reuters for the past two weeks. I still don't see what the commotion from the right is about California. They got crushed. They don't even have a senate candidate. It seems to me you're concern trolling.

What are you talking about?? You’re not looking at the numbers! Typical Democratic hack. Wow!

(I’m kidding, dude. I had hoped my post would make it obvious.)

Oh damn I'm so sorry. I had some sort of feeling that you were joking but I didn't know how to respond.

The problem is that there are users who would make all of these arguments in earnest.

*cough cough* Limo and Lear

[Politician]

It's incredible that the once dominant Virginia GOP will now choose between Stewart, Freitas, and EW Jackson. Holy moly.

Virginia isn't a Solidly Republican state anymore. Anyways, Freitas starts with a slim lead.

[Politician]

Apparently, Archie Parnell is still in SC-05.

[Politician]

Looks like Confederate General Corey Stewart is finished.

Also understandable he's doing terribly in Charlottesville.

[Politician]

LOL Archie Parnell is ahead in Virginia.

[Politician]

E.W. Jackson is the new Jeb!

WTH Just happened

[Politician]

Who is the bigger crazy: Jackson or Stewart?

Freitas is the most enraging, whereas Stewart is just laughably dumb.

[Politician]

So far a really embarrassing performance for Comstock, only getting 62% of the vote with all of Loudon County in.

Solidifies this district as Likely D, even Helmer could beat her.

[Politician]

E W!

[Politician]

Whoa, Stewart winning Loudoun by double digits is unexpected.

NoVa is his home region and this time he's not competing against a fellow Northern Virginian.

Just shows what so-called "moderate suburban" Republicans really support.

[Politician]

E.W. Jackson is winning Virginia Beach again!

And its gone

RIP EW memes

[Politician]

Looks like Archie Parnell is seriously going to win SC-5.

[Politician]

Prediction: Corey Stewart actually wins this thing.

[Politician]

Whoa, Stewart winning Loudoun by double digits is unexpected.

NoVa is his home region and this time he's not competing against a fellow Northern Virginian.

Just shows what so-called "moderate suburban" Republicans really support.

Fratias is winning Arlington County

Well yeah, but Stewart shouldn't be winning places like Loudoun, if these suburban Republicans really were moderates.

[Politician]

So will Norman run uncontested in SC-05?

[Politician]

Stewart probably has this. RIP Virginia Republicans.

A once-proud, dominant state party is now nothing more than neo-Confederates, random guys, and constant losses. Sad!

[Politician]

Why isn't NYT calling races such as VA-09 dem primary?

[Politician]

Lmao, Comstock is going to get Blanched this November.

No...the pundits told me it was a toss up...muh incumbency and Comstock dominated in 2014!

It's all environment.  If Clinton was President, Comstock would be reelected easily.

If Clinton was president, Comstock wouldn't be in Congress right now.

[Politician]

Polls have closed in Maine.

[Politician]

Wait. Democrats currently have 49% of the vote in South Carolina?

Where's the "Dems in disarray" narrative now?

[Politician]

Freitas ahead by ~3,000 votes.

Prepare to be disappointed, Stewart's home Prince William mostly isn't in yet.

[Politician]

Fortunately for Wulfric, SOCIALIST Dan Helmer lost the primary.