2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread v2 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 28, 2024, 01:59:53 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread v2 (search mode)
Pages: [1] 2 3
Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread v2  (Read 172736 times)
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
« on: May 25, 2018, 03:21:38 PM »

The amazing thing is that it might actually help Peterson.
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
« Reply #1 on: June 08, 2018, 11:24:59 AM »
« Edited: June 08, 2018, 05:34:41 PM by Virginia »

The seat was always bordering between Likely R and Safe R anyway, and it doesn't appear Hunter has underperformed much at all.
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
« Reply #2 on: June 13, 2018, 01:27:41 PM »
Quote from: ltomlinson31 on June 13, 2018, 01:26:22 PM


Both of these changes make perfect sense.
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
« Reply #3 on: June 13, 2018, 01:46:26 PM »
Quote from: Hindsight is 2020 on June 13, 2018, 01:44:33 PM
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on June 13, 2018, 01:42:10 PM
Sean T at RCP shifted only ONE race to the Democrats.
Man he's getting hackish
Getting?
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
« Reply #4 on: June 14, 2018, 11:38:52 AM »

And that is the correct rating until we have any sufficient information to change it.
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
« Reply #5 on: June 19, 2018, 02:50:23 PM »
Quote from: Arkansas Yankee on June 19, 2018, 02:40:59 PM
I do not understand how all the turmoil in the Democrat Party is helpful to Democrats.

I have no clue what "turmoil" you're talking about. The only "turmoil" in the party is a few dozen people on twitter (which most Americans don't even use) who can't stop re-litigating the 2016 primary.

The GOP had a lot more turmoil with the Tea Party primaries in 2010, and it didn't prevent them from having a huge wave.
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
« Reply #6 on: June 19, 2018, 03:06:38 PM »

Literally everybody here knows this. You can't ignore that he regrets voting for Trump, and that voting for Trump certainly won't hurt him in a 73-23 Trump seat.

I would reckon the majority of registered Ds in WV-03 voted for Trump, honestly.
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
« Reply #7 on: June 21, 2018, 08:37:04 PM »
I don't know why people are getting themselves so worked up over ratings in June, honestly.

It's pretty bearish for Dems, but we're still about 4 and a half months away from the big day.
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
« Reply #8 on: June 26, 2018, 07:45:29 AM »
Quote from: Hindsight is 2020 on June 25, 2018, 10:59:36 PM
Something to look out for in NY-11 primary but there is also a conservative ballot as well that Grimm and Donavan are on so there is a chance that both men could be on the ballot this November 

Is there a sore loser law in NY?
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
« Reply #9 on: June 28, 2018, 01:46:12 PM »
Quote from: Representative-Elect politicalmasta73 on June 28, 2018, 01:37:29 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 28, 2018, 10:15:58 AM

Dems have a very good candidate, Brat is probably not the best Republican for D-trending district (someone like Comstock would be better), and Stewart on the ballot will not help here.
still, that is a really R district. I'd be surprised if he lost
Kaine will probably win it though, and those coattails could help. I do get why one would be skeptical, given that even Northam lost it by 3.7% while winning statewide by 8.9%.
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
« Reply #10 on: July 06, 2018, 08:00:45 AM »

Can't say I agree with this change.
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
« Reply #11 on: July 06, 2018, 08:36:35 AM »
So Cook thinks we have a better shot at VA-07 than PA-01? I don't buy that at all.
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
« Reply #12 on: July 08, 2018, 01:03:03 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on July 08, 2018, 11:37:56 AM
RRH updated their rankings

Some high(low)lights:

CT-05 as a Toss U
KY-03 as Likely D

LOL
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
« Reply #13 on: July 09, 2018, 08:50:34 AM »
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
« Reply #14 on: July 09, 2018, 02:08:27 PM »
Quote from: ltomlinson31 on July 09, 2018, 02:06:10 PM


Shocked
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
« Reply #15 on: July 09, 2018, 02:36:44 PM »


ANOTHER Texas House Dem raising over a million.
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
« Reply #16 on: July 13, 2018, 08:57:22 AM »


Pretty interesting changes from Cook.
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
« Reply #17 on: July 15, 2018, 09:20:49 PM »


Great news in KS-02
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
« Reply #18 on: July 15, 2018, 11:37:14 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on July 15, 2018, 11:32:14 PM


Most disgusting quarterly report to ever be filed.

$4.9 million for a House race? That’s just stupid.
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
« Reply #19 on: July 20, 2018, 07:39:34 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on July 20, 2018, 07:36:05 PM
Quote from: IceSpear on July 20, 2018, 07:31:44 PM
Quote from: 136or142 on July 20, 2018, 07:30:36 PM
According to www.politics1.com, the Democrats now have a candidate in Louisiana-5 (today is the filing deadline.)

District 5:
Ralph Abraham (R)* - (Campaign Site)
Billy Burkette (I) - Choctaw Tribal Council Chair/Chief of Police, Businessman & '16 Candidate
Jessee Fleenor (D) - Farmer
Kyle Randol (Libertarian) - Legal Assistant

http://www.politics1.com/la.htm

So, this means the Democrats will be running 432 candidates in 2018.

What are the districts where they have no candidate?

Per Ballotpedia, they are CA-8, GA-8, MI-1, and NC-3.  There are 38 districts with no Republican candidate.  Source

Should note that GA-8 is only uncontested because Fred Swann dropped out to run for Agriculture Commissioner (which would've been left uncontested itself had Swann stayed put).

MI-1 is uncontested because our only primary candidate got DQ'd from being on the ballot due to signature issues, but he'll get the nomination via write-in most likely.
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
« Reply #20 on: July 21, 2018, 01:42:55 AM »
Quote from: RubioRepublican on July 21, 2018, 12:59:41 AM
The "experts" strike again!

Apparently VA-Sen is "competitive" and MO, IN, ND, and NV are all more likely to flip than Arizona.



PA being competitive is laughable too. Casey is ahead by 15+ in literally every non-Surveymonkey poll. Even in those surveymonkey polls, he is way ahead.
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
« Reply #21 on: July 24, 2018, 02:40:06 PM »
Still Safe R.

Sure, King is undoubtedly a racist and one of the biggest HPs in Congress. However, his racist views aren't unpopular in his district.
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
« Reply #22 on: August 09, 2018, 07:08:35 PM »
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
« Reply #23 on: August 24, 2018, 11:53:58 PM »
Quote from: westroopnerd on August 24, 2018, 09:16:55 PM
Lmao, Cook just moved MN-Special back to Lean D.

Oh dear.
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
« Reply #24 on: September 04, 2018, 09:17:28 AM »


LOL @ CA-16, CA-24, and FL-27.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.06 seconds with 12 queries.