CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA

[ON Progressive]

That should be scaring Brat big time. Dems didn't have a statewide primary while Republicans did, and the House primary for Dems wasn't competitive. Even with those advantages for Republican primary turnout, they still get romped.

Yeah but the dems had a fairly competitive primarily for VA-07, where the republicans didn't. We also know that turnout was way down for reps this primary in virginia. Sometimes these comparisons work, sometimes they don't, but in both cases these are data points the size of of salt grains.

The VA-07 Dem primary was a 73-27 win for Spanberger, so I doubt it was competitive. Also, I would think a Senate primary would be more energizing than a House primary.

[ON Progressive]

* DANA ROHRABACHER (REP)   52,520   30.3%
HARLEY ROUDA (DEM)   29,873   17.3%
HANS KEIRSTEAD (DEM)   29,804   17.2%
SCOTT BAUGH (REP)   27,412   15.8%

Rouda by 69.

Nice

[ON Progressive]

Not congressional, but there's no gubernatorial thread so may as well post it here:

In Orange County, Dem candidates have now gotten more votes than Republican candidates for governor. I'm very certain this hasn't happened in decades.

[ON Progressive]

Rouda's lead over Keirstead shrinks from 456 to 62 votes.

What? Keirstead initially lead by 456 and now trails by 62.

[ON Progressive]

Rouda's lead over Keirstead shrinks from 456 to 62 votes.

What? Keirstead initially lead by 456 and now trails by 62.

No. Rouda's lead went from 456 to 62.

Rouda never lead by anywhere near that much. The most Rouda was ever ahead was 69 (nice) votes, and that was yesterday.

Keirstead had the 456 vote lead initially when it was just VBM ballots, and the e-day provisional votes let Rouda take the lead.

[ON Progressive]

We don't have a governor primary megathread in the statewide election board so I may as well post it here: What's with the insanely low turnout in Newberry County in SC? Half the precincts are in, but only 163 votes in a county that gave 2800 votes in total in the first round.

I also should add it's a Trump 60% county, so it's not like this can be explained by it being a black-majority county with not a lot of Republicans.

[ON Progressive]

LOL Crowley getting destroyed. Cortez is doing better in Queens (and Crowley runs the Dem machine there) than the Bronx.

[ON Progressive]

Can't wait to see the hot takes about how Dems are going to have a harder time winning the House because of a primary in a D+29 PVI and Clinton+57 district.

[ON Progressive]

Crowley has been pretty classy in defeat:

https://twitter.com/jdavidgoodman/status/1011795408383856645

Always nice to see candidates be classy in defeat.