OH: Harstad (D): Strickland leading by 3 (user search)
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  OH: Harstad (D): Strickland leading by 3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: OH: Harstad (D): Strickland leading by 3  (Read 2256 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,986
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: October 06, 2015, 06:47:17 PM »

No more LR, this is Strickland's race.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,986
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: October 09, 2015, 04:00:02 AM »

Validate the Q U polls, all this time people believed Portman was ahead & Toomey was falling behind.

Strickland is a good recruitment.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,986
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: October 10, 2015, 10:48:26 PM »

The Toomey numbers are a bit surprising to me. But, I expect Dems to do very well in Va or OH to pull Strickland through. It was thought that Clinton was gonna assume to 272 blue wall, but she struggles in CO, so Va or OH can get her to 270
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,986
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: October 11, 2015, 09:31:16 AM »
« Edited: October 11, 2015, 09:38:45 AM by OC »

Dems will do very well in OH and Va, even if Hilary is the candidate. Clinton has almost lead in every Va or OH poll. And Strickland has to, and can win Hamilton(Cincinnati ) county, the same county Obama & Brown carried.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,986
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: October 11, 2015, 02:09:08 PM »
« Edited: October 11, 2015, 02:10:40 PM by OC »

Clinton can afford a loss in OH, as Va is the tipping pt race, but there are conservative counties in SE OH that Strickland is from that is near Va that will allow him to carry the day; as Clinton can take Va, Fairfax county.

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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,986
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #5 on: October 11, 2015, 02:40:23 PM »

Clinton can afford a loss in OH, as Va is the tipping pt race, but there are conservative counties in SE OH that Strickland is from that is near Va that will allow him to carry the day; as Clinton can take Va, Fairfax county.

Strickland significantly outperformed Generic D levels in coal country in 2010 and still lost statewide.

The key was Lucas County. He won Toledo County by a smaller margin than he did in 2006. 60 percent as opposed to 66 percent


That county gave Dubya the victory over John Kerry
 But Strickland will run very well in Toledo besting Clinton.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,986
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #6 on: October 11, 2015, 09:16:07 PM »

As of now, this race has replaced Pa as top tier pickup. Along with Hassan & Murphy, along with lean takeoverd in IL & WI.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,986
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #7 on: October 12, 2015, 02:44:21 AM »

VA & OH are just as important as CO& NV. Hilary can win any combo to get past 270 like Obama did; propelling Strickland to victory.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,986
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #8 on: October 18, 2015, 06:35:38 AM »

This is a presidential race not a midterm election, the race is a tossup wither way. Dynamics of a midterm is different than a 2016 race. OH is a purple state.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,986
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #9 on: October 18, 2015, 07:50:59 AM »

You are talking about Kasich who has run the worse presidential campaign and has all been forgotten in the R primary.

At any rate Trump is the only GOPer who can lose OH/Va.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,986
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #10 on: October 18, 2015, 08:48:33 AM »

I am not justifying that its a Lean D state, its a tossup.
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