Quinnnipiac national poll: Sanders leads all GOPers; Clinton only leads Trump

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

"Establishment" politicians of both the GOP and the Democratic Party are doing badly this year.  Hillary Clinton is as Establishment as they get.

It could be in her case that the Clinton coalition is no more. It could not get Al Gore elected. Kerry did worse in trying to resuscitate it. Obama got clobbered by margins larger than 10% in five states (Arkansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Tennessee, and West Virginia that Clinton won) -- twice. Democrats have a better chance of winning Virginia (a state that neither Carter nor Clinton carried) than any of the New Orleans-Charleston (WV) arc.

At this point I practically see Hillary Clinton losing much like Kerry in 2004 -- but Bernie Sanders winning much like Obama in 2008 or 2012.

You are absolutely correct, either the Dems lose a 272-266 style election, and Sanders win a 2012 map, the email drama, voters are sick of cynical, not Dem politcs.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

2016, seems like a perfect breakout year for either Sanders or Clinton since Scalia nomination  had been thwarted by Mitch McConnell and the GOP senate.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Scalia judgeship has severly damaged the GOP, especially in the swing state of OH, which they had a strong chanceof winning. Blacks will come out in droves against Trump.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Bernie Sanders or Clinton has the hard core Dem base to vote for them. And other than Pa or Iowa being a tossup, Demsare closer to the 272 electors needed for the win.