2018 Gubernatorial Rankings (user search)
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  2018 Gubernatorial Rankings (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2018 Gubernatorial Rankings  (Read 45483 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,745
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #25 on: July 23, 2018, 05:39:19 PM »
Dems pickup AZ, FL, GA, IL, ME, MD, MI, NM, OH and TN
GOP pickup OR and RI
AK remain indie 8 seat pickup by Dems
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,745
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #26 on: July 23, 2018, 07:29:32 PM »
Walker is capable of winning in AK
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,745
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #27 on: July 24, 2018, 03:47:41 PM »


Dems 25 R's 25
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,745
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #28 on: July 26, 2018, 12:24:04 PM »
Quote from: Vice President dfwlibertylover on July 26, 2018, 03:55:16 AM
Seeing as how I expect the dems to do very well house wise (win GCB by 10-15 points), it makes sense when considering local conditions (such as those in OK and KS as well), that they will do very well with gubernatorial races



The confidence map itself has tons of tossups.....

I don't have a ton of confidence on the gop in KS, OK, and FL and feel they will nominate the worst GE candidates (Kobach, Stitt, DeSantis) and the wave is going to be so large it will push dems over in WI, IA, OH, AZ, NV, AK, and GA, that being said, I could still see some really weird stuff happening and I don't think they have enough to push MD atlas red.

Karl Dean has a better chance of being governor
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,745
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #29 on: July 29, 2018, 12:49:24 PM »
Reynolds probably wins, but AZ and GA will be competetive
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,745
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #30 on: August 01, 2018, 04:55:48 PM »

Dems will win MI, WI, IL, OH, FL, PA, GA and FL
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,745
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #31 on: August 02, 2018, 06:02:46 PM »
Solid D IL, MI, NM, CO, MN, OR
Slight L D WI, NV, CT, RI, ME
Tossup OH, FL, AZ
Slight Lean R iowa, NH, and MD
Solid R OK, TX, KS, and GA
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,745
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #32 on: August 02, 2018, 07:19:36 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on August 02, 2018, 03:48:40 PM
Quote from: IceSpear on July 27, 2018, 04:12:02 AM
On New Hampshire...these were the 2014 polls:



And the 2010 polls:



Everyone expected Lynch and Hassan to win in massive landslides (they were just as popular as Sununu is now, if not moreso), then the wave caught up with them. Sununu is favored, but he is not safe.

What an incredibly unfunny and misogynistic post. Bad!

MD and NH are funny states, they have GOP governors for a reason, and NH doesn't like Tax hikes, that's why Sununus resonate in NH and MD as well, I think NE governors that Lean GOP are insulated due to the tax hike issue and the cost of living there is very expensive. That's why Baker haven't raised taxes in Boston
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,745
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #33 on: August 02, 2018, 11:19:07 PM »
Definately David Garcia and Stacy Abrams will win😁
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,745
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #34 on: August 03, 2018, 08:29:11 AM »
Whatever
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,745
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #35 on: August 03, 2018, 09:19:35 AM »
Stacy Abrams, Karl Dean and Laura Kelly can mount upsets. Dont count out Cordray, either, who will be running with popular Sherrod Brown😁
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,745
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #36 on: August 10, 2018, 01:06:00 PM »
TIlt D CA, CO, FL, GA, IL, KS, MI, MN, NM, NY, PA, WI
Tossup AK,AZ, CT, OH, OK, OR, RI, SD, TN
Tilt R ID, Iowa, ME, MD, NV, NH, SC, TX, VT, WY
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,745
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #37 on: August 10, 2018, 05:39:49 PM »
Moderate GOPer can win in the NE, that won't disturb Dems winning House races. Like in CT and RI, NH and MD
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,745
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #38 on: August 15, 2018, 09:34:35 PM »
Irony is that the only states the GOP are gonna hold are: Iowa, NH, VT, MD, AL, OK, SD, TX, TN, SC, Reynolds, and Ivey are deeply popular and so are the Rino GOP governors in the NE.

On the Democratic side, they have their charismatic candidates as well: Paulette Jordan, Laura Kelly, G.Whitmer, and Stacy Abrams. Mark Begich is much better than Governor Walker, as well.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,745
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #39 on: August 15, 2018, 09:40:32 PM »
We haven't seen much polling in AK, and FL will be close and OH, Cordray can be pushed over the line with Brown on ballot.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,745
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #40 on: August 17, 2018, 01:03:00 PM »
Biggest surprises are gonna be Drew Edmondson winning, Begich winning in AK and Janet Mills going down in ME
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,745
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #41 on: August 21, 2018, 02:11:59 PM »
Wisconsin isn't likely R
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,745
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #42 on: August 29, 2018, 08:22:48 PM »
Iowa isn't Lean D, Reynolds will win
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,745
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #43 on: August 30, 2018, 07:06:52 PM »
FL is Tilt D
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,745
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #44 on: September 06, 2018, 03:53:11 PM »
Tilt D: AZ, CA, CO, CT, FL, IL, KS, ME, MI, MN, NV, NM, NY, OR, PA, RI and WI
Tossup GA & OH and OK
Tilt R AL, AK, AR, ID, IA, MD, MA, NE, NH, SC, SD, TN, TX, VT & WY
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,745
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #45 on: September 07, 2018, 02:56:20 PM »
This will be the most exciting races to watch, KS Gov and TX Sen hoping Dem
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,745
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #46 on: September 09, 2018, 02:18:46 PM »
Quote from: MillennialModerate on September 09, 2018, 12:12:56 PM
The governors race in Massachusetts is a prime example of why I think our position as the bluest state is overstated. In a Dem year, our Gov is probably the Safest GOV in the country. Yes Baker is a good Governor and yes he is a Moderate but still.... if this state was as blue and partisan as it’s made out to be then this would be at least mildly competitive - right?

There aren't many minorities in the NE and MA is a catholic dominated State, and the state does have Romneycare named after Baker's predecessor. Baker was fortunate to run in 2014 against Coakley.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,745
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #47 on: September 10, 2018, 04:06:59 PM »


Based on polling Max 10 seats 27D-23R
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,745
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #48 on: September 10, 2018, 08:36:02 PM »
This is getting ridiculous for the GOP, they are now losing in Iowa. Tsunami Time😀
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,745
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #49 on: September 11, 2018, 03:32:51 PM »


272 Friewal again
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